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Q125 | Industrial Market Report | Houston, TX
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Q1 2025 Houston Industrial Market Report

Houston Key Findings

  • Over the last three years, Houston has added over 380,000 new residents, one of the greatest increases in the country.
  • The recent supply wave has slowed annual rent growth to 1.5%, the lowest level since 2016. However, major supply-side relief is on the way, with new deliveries expected to approximately 14 million SF in 2025, the lowest level since 2017.
  • Houston is one of the few major markets that has seen a decline in vacancy. Coming down from a peak of 8.0% in Q2 2024, the rate currently stands at 6.9%.

 

By the Numbers

As of March 19, 2025 | Source: CoStar Group

Q1 2025 5K-50K SQFT 50K-100K SQFT 5K+ SQFT/ALL TENANT
Inventory 165,000,000 78,500,000 829,000,000
Under Construction SF 609,000 862,000 17,200,000
Net Absorption SF 120,000 300,000 17,500,000
Vacancy Rate 4.3% 3.1% 6.8%
Availability Rate 6.0% 5.9% 9.5%
Available SF 10,000,000 4,700,000 80,700,000
Market Size-Buildings 10,488 1,142 20,329
% of Market Sold 5.8% 5.7% 5.9%

 

2024 5K-50K SQFT 50K-100K SQFT 5K+ SQFT/ALL TENANT
Inventory 154,000,000 75,100,000 763,000,00
Under Construction SF 758,000 649,000 13,700,000
Net Absorption SF 199,000 176,000 18,900,000
Vacancy Rate 4.4% 3.0% 6.5%
Availability Rate 6.0% 6.0% 9.1%
Available SF 9,300,000 4,500,000 70,600,000
Market Size-Buildings 9,700 1,092 17,896
% of Market Sold 5.1% 4.8% 5.3%

 

Houston Demographics

  • Unemployment Rate: 4.6%
  • Current Population: 7,659,345
  • Households: 2,803,105
  • Median Household Income: $80,269

Houston is one of the nation’s best-performing markets for job growth. The labor market today employs almost 300,000 more people than it did before the pandemic, one of the country’s largest gains. The Houston metro has a population of around 7.7 million, making it the fifth-largest in the nation. Its young population, affordability, nice climate, low taxes, generally business-friendly environment, diversity, and culture continue to attract new residents.

 

Market Performance

The Houston industrial market has struck a turnaround as of early 2025. The supply wave is nearly over, demand remains above historical levels, and vacancies are stabilizing. However, it may take a few years for supply and demand to find a balance, particularly in the bulk distribution sector. Since 2021, the stock of logistics properties measuring 100,000 square feet or more has increased by 20%. Today, 17.1 million SF is still under construction, with 85% available for lease, the majority of which is in this segment. As occupiers in transportation and manufacturing continue to expand, leasing volumes remain roughly 40% higher than in 2017-2019. Last year, tenants such as Integra Mission Critical and Solar Plus leased about 2 million square feet at newly developed industrial facilities along the North Hardy Toll Road, a high-demand location due to its proximity to George Bush Intercontinental Airport.

 

Houston’s tenant demand is undeniably strong. While absorption rates have declined from their peak during the pandemic, they remain significantly higher than in most other major US markets. Over time, Houston’s distinctive demand drivers remain strong and supportive of industrial demand, which includes a major port, one of the top metros for population growth, as well as a massive manufacturing sector and petrochemical industry.

 

Performance by Industrial Type

Source: CoStar Group

Vacancy Rate Market Asking Rent Per SF Availability Rate
Logistics 7.6% $8.61 10.1%
Specialized 2.4% $10.48 5.1%
Flex 8.8% $13.24 10.0%

 

Construction

The Houston industrial market is nearing the end of a record development cycle. New supply declined in 2024, following four years of record new deliveries between 2020 and 2023, and is expected to slow even further in 2025. Despite the recent decrease, a relief in supply will aid in the reignition of the current 1.5% rent growth rate. Supply-side pressure is more evident in big box space, which has accounted for the majority of recent deliveries. The overall quantity of vacant space among buildings 100,000 SF or greater has reached 34 million SF today. Another 10 million square feet of unleased industrial space in similar-sized properties is being developed.

 

The Houston industrial market’s sales volume for Q1 2025 stood at $265.9M.

Additional Authors

Payton Herleth photo

Payton Herleth

Associate

Matt Venezia photo

Matt Venezia

Associate

Andrew Knutson photo

Andrew Knutson

Associate

Jack Evans photo

Jack Evans

Associate

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