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Q&A Cory Rosenthal | Executive Managing Director & National Director of Multifamily

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100% Bonus Depreciation Returns: What the Latest IRS Guidance Means for Commercial Real Estate image

100% Bonus Depreciation Returns: What the Latest IRS Guidance Means for Commercial Real Estate

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How Interest Rates Are Shaping Commercial Real Estate Values, Strategy, and Leasing image

How Interest Rates Are Shaping Commercial Real Estate Values, Strategy, and Leasing

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San Diego, CA Retail Development Report Q4 2025 image

San Diego, CA Retail Development Report Q4 2025

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Featured Podcast Episodes

The Matthews™ Podcast — Bo Kemp

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The Matthews™ Podcast — Jeff Enck

Jeff Enck on Southeast Shopping Center Trends In this episode of the Matthews™ Podcast, host Matthew Wallace continues the publication takeover series with Part 3 of the National Shopping Center Overview, breaking down the Southeast with Matthews™ Senior Vice President Jeff Enck.   With 25+ years of retail investment sales experience and hundreds of transactions closed across the Southeast, Enck shares why strip centers have moved from underrated to one of the most competitive retail investment categories in the country, and what that means for both private and institutional capital. The Role of Strip Centers as a Primary Asset Class Traditionally, retail real estate was often viewed through the lens of grocery-anchored or power cents. However, Enck notes that over the last decade, and specifically the last two to three years, unanchored strip centers have shifted their strategies to exit grocery-anchored and power centers in favor of strips. Industrial Adoption: Major groups, including the first publicly traded REIT solely focused on strip centers (Curbline), have shifted their strategies to exit grocery-anchored and power centers in favor of strips. The “Apartmentization” of Retail: Investors are increasingly treating strip centers like “retail multifamily”. Because the bays are typically uniform (1,500 to 2,500 square feet), owners expect regular tenant turnover as an opportunity to reset and increase rents. Operational Efficiency: Re-tenanting smaller bays is more capital-efficient than filling large big-box spaces, often requiring less tenant improvement (TI) allowance. Essential Service Retail (ESR) and the Amazon Impact The narrative of the “retail apocalypse” has shifted as investors recognize the durability of “essential service retail”. Recession and Internet Proofing: Success in the space is driven by tenants that cannot be easily replaced by e-commerce, such as urgent care, hair salons, dentists, and local restaurants. The Amazon Synergy: Ironically, the rise of Amazon has helped strip centeres by creating a need for shipping hubs. Many centers now feature UPS or Pack Mail stores to handle the heavy volume of consumer returns. The Human Factor: COVID-19 revealed that local “mom and pop” tenants are often more resilient than national credit tenants because their personal livelihoods are tied to the business, making them more willing to collaborate with landlords during crises. Investment Dynamics of the Southeast Enck highlights the Southeast as a particularly attractive region due to its fundamental economic drivers. Growth Drivers: Tax-friendly states, job importation, and low cost of living have led to a massive influx of population, which in turn fuels the need for retail support. Market Concentration: Major metros like Charlotte, Tampa, Atlanta, Orlando, and Nashville are all performing solidly. Yield Opportunities: While core markets see heavily compressed cap rates, investors are increasingly looking toward secondary markets like Savannah, Knoxville, and Greenville to find better yield The Future of the Asset Class Early Innings of Institutionalization: The strip center market remains highly fragmented. Enck estimates that only about 1.5% to 2% of the approximately 68,000 unanchored centers nationwide are currently institutionally owned. Rent Growth Strategy: The primary attraction for large groups is “mark to market” opportunities—buying seasoned properties (10–30 years old) and raising below-market rents. Supply Constraints: New construction of traditional strips is limited due to high construction costs. Most new development is focused on small 2–4 tenant out-parcels (e.g., Chipotle and Starbucks) where rents are already at their peak, limiting future growth potential. Key Takeaways for CRE Professionals Stick to a Specialization: Enck advises young brokers to choose a property type and geographic focus and stay with it, rather than jumping between asset classes based on what is currently popular. Understand Risk from the Buyer’s Perspective: Learning how buyers evaluate risk, a lesson Enck learned from early struggles with difficult listings, is essential for long-term success Value of Professional Representation: Because 80% of strip center owners only own one or two properties, there is a significant opportunity for brokers to provide professional guidance to private clients.      

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The Matthews™ Podcast — Amy Rubenstein

The Operational Edge in Workforce Housing with Amy Rubenstein In this episode of the Matthews™ Podcast, host Matthew Wallace is joined by Amy Rubenstein, CEO and Founder of Clear Investment Group, to discuss what it takes to stabilize distressed workforce housing and turn operationally broken assets into durable, livable communities.   While the multifamily sector often gets framed through the lens of new development, luxury amenities, and top-tier Class A product, Rubenstein focuses on a different reality. Across the country, millions of renters live in aging properties that have been neglected for years, where operational breakdowns, deferred maintenance, and instability have real consequences for residents and investors alike. Rubenstein believes that restoring these assets is not only a business opportunity but a responsibility.   Drawing on decades of experience across ownership, investment strategy, and operations, Rubenstein shares how Clear Investment Group identifies underperforming market-rate workforce housing and turns it into stable, functioning communities through disciplined execution, data-driven decision-making, and operational rigor. The Operational Reality of Distress Workforce housing sits in a unique place in the market. It serves working families and individuals who often earn too much to qualify for subsidized housing, but not enough to absorb constant rent increases.   Rubenstein notes that Clear Investment Group typically focuses on households in the $35,000-$85,000 income range, where demand remains durable, but quality supply is limited.   The challenge is that distressed workforce assets are rarely distressed for just one reason. Typically, multiple systems fail at once: property management, resident screening, maintenance, collections, and oversight.   Fixing that requires a different kind of operator. Restoring Stability and Performance Rather than chasing yield through superficial renovation, Clear Investment Group’s value restoration philosophy is stabilized through fundamentals like: Correcting operational inefficiencies Improving safety and livability Restoring resident trust Reducing delinquency and loss-to-lease Building repeatable processes across assets The Role of Data and AI in Multifamily Operations Clear Investment Group uses data and AI to strengthen both underwriting and operations to: Tighten underwriting assumptions Improve due diligence accuracy Monitor performance in real time Identify early warning signs in delinquency and collections Make operational policy changes based on resident payment behavior Key Takeaways for CRE Professionals Workforce housing is one of the most durable demand drivers in multifamily Distress is often operational, not just physical Value restoration requires discipline, not just capital Data and AI can materially improve underwriting and day-to-day decision-making Real transformation happens through execution and consistency   Listen on:

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The Matthews™ Podcast — Ed Laycox

Mid-Atlantic Shopping Center Trends with Ed Laycox In this episode of The Matthews™ Podcast, host Matthew Wallace continues the Publication Takeover Series with part two of the National Shopping Center Overview to unpack the trends shaping the Mid-Atlantic with Matthews™ Executive Vice President Ed Laycox.   With over 20 years of experience and 200 transactions totaling over $1 Billion, Laycox brings a practical, deal-level view of what’s shaping retail investment decisions right now. He breaks down where capital is moving, how buyer profiles are evolving, and why grocery-anchored centers continue to command outsized attention.   A Career Built in Grocery-Anchored Retail Laycox’s career has been defined by a deep focus on grocery-anchored and necessity-based retail, particularly in suburban and tertiary markets through the Mid-Atlantic. Early on, he gravitated toward these assets because of their durability and the consistency of consumer demand. Over time, that focus helped him develop a nuanced understanding of how everyday retail performs across different economic cycles.   Rather than chasing headline markets, Laycox spent years building relationships with owners in smaller, less institutional submarkets. That approach allowed him to see firsthand how population growth, income levels, and consumer behavior ultimately drive shopping center performance. Capital is Following Suburban Growth Capital is continuing to shift away from urban cores into surrounding suburban and secondary markets. Laycox points to growth across areas surrounding Washington, D.C., as well as markets like Richmond, Charlottesville, Northern Virginia, and parts of Maryland, where higher-income households are increasingly willing to live farther from city centers.   As these areas grow, ownership profiles have changed. What were once predominantly family-owned assets are now attracting larger private equity groups and more institutional-style capital, drawn by population growth and the stability of grocery-anchored retail. Tenant Demand Is Splitting, Not Weakening Laycox describes today’s tenant landscape as increasingly divided between necessity-based uses and discretionary or experiential concepts. Grocery, food, and auto-related tenants continue to anchor centers and provide stability, while uses such as fitness, personal services, and entertainment concepts are often able to support higher rents.   At the same time Laycox cautions that not every concept works everywhere. In deeper tertiary markets, there’s often only room for one experimental tenant in a given category. Adding competition too quickly can strain demand and disrupt an otherwise healthy center. Navigating Choppy Capital Markets Financing conditions remain uneven, and Laycox does not shy away from describing the last few years as a bumpy period for retail investment sales. Despite that volatility, he emphasizes that capital hasn’t disappeared. Deals are getting done, particularly when transactions are well structured and thoughtfully executed.   He notes that challenging markets often separate active operators and advisors from those who step to the sidelines. Brokers and investors who are willing to stay engaged and problem-solve tend to gain market share when conditions improve. Laycox adds: Having the ability to find ways to get deals done is where the real value of brokerage comes into play in these types of markets. Grocery-Anchored Remains the Leading Thesis Looking ahead, Laycox is clear that grocery-anchored retail remains one of the strongest investment stories in the Mid-Atlantic and nationally. As the cost of dining out continues to rise, consumers are allocating more spending toward groceries, driving consistent sales growth across many stores.   One emerging issue he flags is the rising cost of insurance. As premiums increase, insurance is likely to become a more significant factor in lease negotiations and NOI discussions as leases roll. Laycox believes this expense pressure is underappreciated and will play a larger role in investment decisions over the next several years. Understanding the “Solve for X” Mindset In a market where traditional financing often feels like a barrier, Laycox advocates for a proactive, problem-solving approach to brokerage. “Solving for X” means looking beyond the high interest rates to find the specific structures—whether through creative capital sources or lease restructuring—that make a deal viable for both the buyer and the seller. In 2026, this approach is especially essential as pricing expectations reset and both sides get more flexible on structure. Key Takeaways for Investors The Mid-Atlantic opportunity is increasingly defined by where the demand is deepest and how risk is priced. Grocery-anchored centers remain the clearest defensive play, but outcomes hinge on market-by-market execution. The best deals are the ones that match tenant mix to local spending power, account for rising expense pressure like insurance, and use smart structure to bridge the gap between buyer and seller expectations. What Separates Productive Agents in This Cycle The most effective agents are leaning into problem-solving, not just pricing. In a market where capital is selective and execution takes more effort, value comes from understanding risk, setting expectations early, and helping both sides navigate structure. Consistency, local market knowledge, and the willingness to stay engaged through uncertainty are what build trust and sustain long-term relationships.

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The Matthews™ Podcast — Will Mitchell

How Automation is Rebuilding Real Estate with Will Mitchell In this episode of the Matthews™ Podcast, host Matthew Wallace is joined by Will Mitchell, CEO and co-founder of Rabbet, for a deep dive into construction finance, one of the most overlooked friction points in commercial real estate.   While billions of dollars move through the construction ecosystem every year, much of the industry still relies on spreadsheets, PDFs, and manual processes to manage draws, budgets, and lender reporting. Mitchell believes that the gap between capital and clarity is not just inefficient, it’s holding the industry back. Drawing on firsthand experience as a developer and entrepreneur, Mitchell shares how Rabbet is helping lenders and developers move toward a more connected, transparent, and data-driven workflow. From the Built Environment to Building Technology Mitchell’s career didn’t begin in software. It starts with a fascination with the built environment and a strong belief that real estate should operate more logically than it often does in practice.   After working across development projects and entrepreneurial ventures, Mitchell experienced the same pain points again and again—slow draw processes, fragmented information, and a lack of real-time visibility for both lenders and borrowers.   Mitchell explains:   You’d have one version of the truth for the developer, another for the lender, and everything lived in email threads and Excel files. That’s not a system. That’s survival mode.   Those experiences ultimately laid the foundation for Rabbet, a platform designed to centralize construction data, streamline draw management, and create shared visibility across stakeholders.   The Early Innnings of Modernization Despite significant innovation across proptech, construction finance remains stubbornly manual. According to Mitchell, that resistance isn’t due to lack of intelligence or capital. It’s due to risk aversion and workflow inertia.   Construction lending is high-stakes. Mistakes are costly. As a result, institutions are slow to change unless the upside is undeniable.   Mitchell notes:   People don’t adopt new technology because it’s marginally better. They adopt it when it’s marginally better, when it saves time, reduces risk, and makes their day-to-day easier.   That philosophy shaped how Rabbet approaches product development. The goal isn’t to add another tool to the stack, but to replace inefficient processes entirely.   Building Tech That Actually Gets Adopted Driving adoption in a legacy industry requires more than innovation. Technology must earn trust before it can scale.   Mitchell explains that successful construction finance software must do three things well:   Integrate seamlessly into existing workflows Provide immediate, tangible value Respect the expertise of the people using it   Rabbet focuses on structured data rather than document overload, enabling lenders and developers to work from a shared source of truth instead of chasing updates across inboces.   Mitchell says:   Technology shouldn’t make people feel replaced. It should make them better at what they already do.    Key Takeaways for CRE Professionals Construction finance modernization is still in its early stages Adoption depends on trust, clarity, and measurable value Technology must support decision-makers, not replace them Sustainable change happens incrementally, not overnight   A Measured Path Forward As capital markets continue to evolve, the infrastructure supporting construction finance evolves in tandem. Mitchell’s perspective underscores a broader truth in commercial real estate: meaningful progress comes from respect for fundamentals, patience with adoption, and a focus on solving real problems.    

Image of Q&A Cory Rosenthal | Executive Managing Director & National Director of Multifamily Success Story

Q&A Cory Rosenthal | Executive Managing Director & National Director of Multifamily

What It Really Takes to Last in Brokerage With more than two decades in brokerage, Cory Rosenthal, Executive Managing Director and National Director of Multifamily at Matthews, shares how he has built his career around a simple but demanding idea: success isn’t complicated, and can be earned daily by surrounding yourself with the right people, showing up with the right mindset, and embracing consistent execution.   In this Q&A, Cory reflects on the formative lessons that have helped shape his leadership philosophy, the role discipline and consistency play in long-term performance, and why culture, curiosity, and integrity matter more than any single transaction. From coaching through long stretches of low gratification to defining success beyond money, his perspective offers a candid look at what it really takes to build a sustainable and fulfilling career in brokerage.   Background Q: You’ve often said there’s no textbook for this business. Looking back, what early experiences shaped how you think about brokerage and leadership today? A: There’s enormous pressure on young people coming out of college to feel like they should already be in the know, be smarter than everyone else, have their trajectory planned out, and know where they’ll be in the next ten years and how to get there. However, these expectations are mostly placed upon themselves.   The reality is, unless you’re in technical trade, college mostly prepares you to organize your life. Much of what you take away is about how to plan, be resourceful, and how to get answers. Brokerage is this concept on steroids.   We’re not populating data cells or finding the round peg for the round hole and moving on. Our business is a combination of sales, relationships, and mindset, and no college course teaches you that. The only way to learn in this industry is to ask questions, surround yourself with people who are willing to take on those questions, synthesize the answers and then apply them in your next attempt.   Rinse, wash, repeat.   In this business, the same result can be achieved in any number of ways and there’s no way to prove which is best. It all comes down to ascertaining as much information as you possibly can and then relying on your preparation, experience, and coaching. Those are all soft skills, and at the end of the day, it’s a recipe for embracing who you are as an individual and I was fortunate to grow up, professionally, in an environment where the training was on the person first, product second.   Q: What lessons from your early years in sales still guide the way you hire, coach, and build teams today? A: To be genuinely curious about people. You can’t collaborate with people, clients, or colleagues, if you don’t understand what they’re looking to achieve and what motivates them. Only when you build a relationship that allows for that honest communication can you maximize results.   Q: How much of your early success do you attribute to the people around you vs. your own effort and how did that shape your dedication to culture? A: Any success I’ve ever had from the first day on the job to today, is the result of the people I’ve worked with. I was fortunate to start my career at a company with an incredible culture. For our business model to succeed, people needed to collaborate. So, we needed to hire engaged, like-minded, and motivated individuals who at their essence had good values.   The level of respect you were provided with the day you stepped in the door was no different than if you were a person who had been there for ten years. It made everything about work more enjoyable and there was an enthusiasm for the work because you care about the people you were working with. The people around me took what would have been my standard of effort and poured gasoline on it.   Mindset Q: You talk about discipline being a superpower. Why do you think consistency is the true separator in brokerage? A: It starts and ends with something I call, “compounding credibility.”   Often, the person a broker is speaking with can’t conceptualize transacting on real estate at that very moment. Alternatively, they might be ready, but they need to interview a select few firms.   Over time, a broker needs to speak to, mail, engage with, and meet people at a certain clip or cadence to gain that individual’s trust. This could be measured in days or years. Often, it’s the latter.   If you are not consistent in your cadence and that chain of touches gets broken, you risk being forgotten or being top of mind. Now you are starting all over, all your work begins again and you’re no different than any other broker when you next call that owner.   The average person doesn’t have the discipline to do it over and over again to ensure they stand out. It’s not sexy and there’s not an immediate return, so people let cracks seep in, and they eventually divert their actions elsewhere. The compounding can’t be touched or felt, so they feel dejected and they quit.   These individuals lack the fortitude to sustain the work.   I recently heard that the great Manchester United soccer coach sir Alex Ferguson once said: “The hardest thing in life is to work hard every day” – and I couldn’t agree more.   Q: You’ve said the work isn’t complicated, but it is hard. What are some tasks you see agents underestimate or avoid daily? A: The first task of the day: Waking up early. It starts there.   Throw your legs over the side of the bed and just get going. Show up day in and day out to maximize your time. Time and preparation are the only means you can take advantage of to ensure you are being proactive and not reactive.   We all have the same amount of time in the day, but it’s what we do with it that matters the most.   Waking up is not complicated. You open your eyes and you stand up. So, when I ask people if they can wake up tomorrow at 5am, then answer is always a smile and a “yes”. But when I ask them if they can do it tomorrow, and the day after, and the day after that, and the day after that, and so on, often the smile fades into a bit of deer in headlights look and I can see them trying to envision that simple act day in and day out, and how difficult it actually is.   Getting to the office before the rest of your teammates, getting ahead of the competition, and showing up for yourself is where difficulties lie.   Q: How do you coach people through a period where effort is high, results are low, and gratification is almost nonexistent? A: The most important thing is not what I say to them during that period. It’s what I said to them when we first met. When I was clear and candid about what comes with the job, and that they would in fact, experience tough times, like what they’re going through now.   In that conversation, there is also discussion regarding the job being a journey and not a sprint. That each step is effort towards reward many miles away. So now, when the results are low, I remind them of that conversation. I get their confirmation that we had that conversation and that they agreed then and they still agree now. They realize, they’re not off path, they’re just on a really long stretch of dirt. Then we talk about how we’re going to keep moving forward at a good pace.   Sales Philosophy Q: What mistakes do you see brokers make when they prioritize winning the assignment over giving the right advice? A: Reputation and time. If you advise improperly, you probably aren’t going to transact anyway. Giving poor advice means you’re mismanaging expectations. So, you’re either going to get fired or have a poor outcome that doesn’t meet the client’s goals. At least give yourself the shot to get the assignment back when timing makes more sense for the client.   Q: If you stripped this business down to daily non-negotiables, what are the habits that you see move the needle year-after-year? Show-Up Stick To the Fundamentals Try To Get Better Every Day Maintain Your Integrity   Q: How should young brokers measure progress when results lag effort early on? A: Measure your improvement in everything. The deal cycle from lead to closing is long. Every aspect of transaction is a chance to win. Measure, compare, assess, and compete on each task. Did you win by getting a hold of the client? Did you win by not having the client hang up on you? Did you win by determining if the client needs your services? Did you win by having the client agree to have you walk their property? Did you win by properly underwriting the property? Did you win by having the client agree to meet you again for the pitch? Did you win the pitch and get hired? This is all before you are even in the market, let alone close the deal. All that winning means you’re getting better and getting closer to your next closing.   Culture Q: You’ve said culture is everything. How would you define the Matthews culture and what sets it apart from other firms? How do you know culture is real vs just words on a wall? A: Culture makes up everything about an organization; it’s mostly the people. But also, the business model. The sales policies. The HR policies. The dress code. The camaraderie. The leadership involvement. And on, and on, and on. Collectively, you can’t touch it, but you can feel it.   When you walk into any Matthews™ office and you can feel the hard work (especially if you’re there at 6:30am), you can feel the intent that people go about their business, and you can feel the camaraderie. The company is a team, and it shows when you stand within our walls.   Q: You’ve spoken about servant leadership. What happens to teams when leaders don’t genuinely believe they work for their people? A: Trust is lost. Teams begin to question the leader’s motivation on everything. Is it self-serving or in the team’s best interest? That leads to disengagement and dissension. Once that creeps into an office or company, things are lost.   Q: How do you evaluate intangibles like accountability, resilience, and competitive stamina when hiring new agents? A: My interviews can become a bit of a therapy session. I want to know the person’s story. I want to know what they went through; what experience did they have or what lesson they learned that causes a fire to burn inside of them. I like to hear from the person, not their script.   I learn why being average is not enough for them, and what makes that individual so desperate to succeed?   If they have that vulnerability to acknowledge what they feared was a weakness, they can use it to become a superpower. Once you name something you own it. And once you own it, rather than run away from it you can press on it to motivate you. The people who are willing to do that work have something in them that will make them show up every day and be successful in this business.   Business Development Q: You’ve emphasized working on the business, not just in it. What does that look like in practice for high-performing brokers? A: If you think about in the notion of having an audience, you want to “touch” them as much as possible (without harassing them). Calls, meetings, mailers, LinkedIn posts, emails, networking events, etc. All of these are ways the audience receives information you are putting out.   A high-performing broker has a marketing calendar for this content. They have existing information and information that they are constantly developing and pushing out in various vehicles at various cadences.   The goal is to create the perception that the audience sees and feels you everywhere in the market through the valuable information you are delivering. Without this, you are only dealing with people who are interested in the transactions you are working on and not the people who will be transacting or be a source of transactions down the road.   Q: What separates people who last five years from those who build twenty-year careers in brokerage? A: Consistency and enjoyment. I have never seen a person leave this business who has positive body language. I’ve never had to terminate someone for performance. It’s all about body language and consistency. If someone is enjoying the job, they’re ultimately going to be good at it and they’re going to show up. They’re going to wake up day in and day out with enthusiasm and passion to do their job. That passion will fuel an appetite for getting better. The more you do the job, the better you get, and there is no ceiling on that curve.   Q: How do personal routines outside the office affect performance inside the office? A: It’s a 24/7/365 job. If you’re maximizing your time outside of the office doing the wrong thing, it’s going to impact your time inside the office. Routines outside of the office enable you to be proactive in managing your business.   It’s hard enough to get everything done in one day, but if it’s predictable, it’s easier to embrace because you’re prepared. Being reactive in this business is a death sentence. You can never get your arms around your existing business, let alone future business or what you need to do to identify business.   Growth, Fulfillment, and Longevity Q: What is the most common misconception people have about what it takes to succeed in sales? A: Defining sales as convincing people to do something they don’t want to do, as opposed to defining sales as building relationships. That starts with listening. People need to listen more. If you listen and actually understand the customer’s needs, versus what you want out of the situation, then you’re actually closer to finding success with that individual.   Q: After more than two decades in the business, how do you personally define success now, and how has it evolved over time? A: I think based on how I grew up, success was mostly about money and having a vibrant social life at a young age. Constantly being on edge about those two things and assuming they were intertwined. I wanted to work so that I can have the resources for the two, but I was also trying to balance, taking advantage of how my professional life provided for my social life and simultaneously maximizing both.   Now, almost twenty-three years later, I’ve been through enough and around enough that my priorities have shifted. My wife and daughter are the most important things in the world. Everything in my universe revolves around them and if I could, I’d spend every waking minute with them. But I go about each day with a pride in knowing that if I must be away from them, it’s at a place that allows me to contribute to my family’s overall happiness and well-being. It’s a place I enjoy, a place where I find purpose and a place where I am respected for who I am as a person and what I can contribute.

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Cory Rosenthal

Executive Managing Director & National Director of Multifamily

Image of 100% Bonus Depreciation Returns: What the Latest IRS Guidance Means for Commercial Real Estate Success Story

100% Bonus Depreciation Returns: What the Latest IRS Guidance Means for Commercial Real Estate

The return of 100% bonus depreciation marks one of the most impactful tax developments for commercial real estate in recent years. Following the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill, the IRS issued interim guidance clarifying how the reinstated deduction applies, removing much of the uncertainty that had weighed on depreciation planning since the phase-down began.   For owners and investors, the change reshapes after-tax returns, acquisition underwriting, and capital deployment decisions heading into 2026 and beyond.   Why Bonus Depreciation Matters in CRE Bonus depreciation allows qualifying properties to be expensed immediately rather than depreciated over time. In commercial real estate, this most commonly applies to: Cost-segregated building components Tenant improvements and interior buildouts Qualified improvement property (QIP) Certain land improvements, including parking and site work As bonus depreciation phased down in recent years, the upfront tax benefits tied to value-add and repositioning strategies diminished. The permanent return to 100% expensing restores a planning tool that had steadily lost effectiveness since 2023.   What Changed Under the new law, 100% bonus depreciation is permanently available for qualifying properties acquired and placed in service after January 19, 2025.   For commercial real estate investors, this means accelerated depreciation is no longer a timing strategy or temporary window. Full first-year expensing is available for qualifying components again, and underwriting assumptions can reflect stable depreciation treatment across hold periods.   IRS Guidance Brings Clarity The IRS’s interim guidance confirms that taxpayers may rely on existing bonus depreciation regulations, with updated effective dates, until formal regulations are issued. For real estate owners, this preserves the established cost segregation framework already embedded in most underwriting models.   Key takeaways include: Eligibility is tied to placed-in-service dates, not contract dates Used property continues to qualify, subject to acquisition rules Owners may elect out of bonus depreciation by asset class when appropriate This guidance reduces execution risk for late-2025 and 2026 acquisitions and adds certainty for renovation and repositioning projects.   Implications for Deals and Underwriting The reinstatement of 100% bonus depreciation has immediate economic implications: Higher year-one after-tax cash flow, especially for value-add assets Improved IRRs driven by accelerated tax shields Greater pricing flexibility as buyers offset higher basis with upfront deductions For investors utilizing cost segregation, the ability to fully expense qualifying components in year one materially enhances early-period returns, particularly in a market defined by higher cap rates and more conservative rent growth.   Cost Segregation Back in Focus With full expensing restored, cost segregation reclaims its role as a core CRE tax strategy. Assets with meaningful short-life components can once again generate substantial first-year deductions, particularly across multifamily, industrial, retail, and hospitality.   Depreciation modeling, which had become a secondary underwriting input during the phase-down period, is again central to acquisition analysis.   Bottom Line The permanent return of 100% bonus depreciation restores a key driver of commercial real estate tax efficiency. Paired with clearer IRS guidance, it gives investors renewed confidence to deploy capital, pursue value-add strategies, and underwrite after-tax returns with greater precision.   In a market where basis matters more than momentum, accelerated depreciation once again meaningfully moves the needle.

Image of How Interest Rates Are Shaping Commercial Real Estate Values, Strategy, and Leasing Success Story

How Interest Rates Are Shaping Commercial Real Estate Values, Strategy, and Leasing

Interest rates are one of the most influential forces in commercial real estate, shaping how assets are valued, financed, and leased. At a fundamental level, interest rates represent the cost of borrowing capital, and in an asset class that relies heavily on leverage, even modest shifts can have wide-reaching effects. Changes in benchmark rates ripple through lending markets and ultimately impact investor expectations, pricing, and transaction strategy.   After more than a decade of historically low borrowing costs, the industry is now operating in a higher for longer rate environment. Rather than halting activity, this shift is prompting a broader market recalibration. Investors are underwriting more carefully, lenders are emphasizing fundamentals, and pricing is adjusting to reflect the current cost of capital. In many ways, this transition is bringing renewed focus to discipline, long-term performance, and strategic decision-making across the sector.   Understanding how interest rates influence cap rates, asset values, and leasing behavior provides important context for where the market stands today and how participants are positioning for the next phase of the cycle.   The Connection Between Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and Value Cap rates, which measure a property’s return based on its income, are one of the primary tools used to estimate value. When interest rates rise, investors typically seek higher returns to account for increased borrowing costs and changing risk dynamics. Over time, this can lead to adjustments in cap rates and pricing. When rates fall, the opposite can occur, often supporting stronger valuations.   However, the relationship is not perfectly linear. Cap rates are influenced by multiple factors beyond interest rates, including inflation expectations, asset fundamentals, tenant credit quality, and broader market cycles.   Recent data illustrates how closely these variables are now aligned. Average CRE borrowing costs are hovering near 6.57%, while average cap rates are around 6.34%, creating an exceptionally tight spread. This alignment reflects a market actively recalibrating to the current cost of capital environment, where investors are placing greater emphasis on durable income and long-term stability.   A Higher-Rate Environment The industry has spent the past two years adjusting to elevated interest rates, and the effects are continuing to unfold. Interest rates have emerged as a top concern for market participants, shaping investment strategy, underwriting assumptions, and transaction timelines.   At the same time, a significant volume of commercial real estate debt is approaching maturity. Nearly $1 trillion in loans is expected to come due in 2026, prompting increased refinancing activity across the market. As these loans reset at today’s rates, owners and lenders are reassessing capital structures and updating valuations to reflect current conditions.   This environment is encouraging a more strategic approach to decision-making. Investors are focusing more heavily on asset quality, location, tenant stability, and long-term income potential. Lenders are placing greater weight on fundamentals. Rather than relying on rapid appreciation, market participants are prioritizing durability and performance.   Adjustments Across Asset Classes The impact of higher interest rates is not uniform. Each asset class is responding differently based on its demand drivers, leasing dynamics, and income stability.   Industrial Industrial properties continue to benefit from strong structural demand tied to logistics, distribution, and supply chain evolution. While spreads between cap rates and borrowing costs are among the tightest in this sector, investor interest remains supported by long-term tenant demand and historically strong occupancy trends. As refinancing activity increases, underwriting is placing more focus on lease rollover schedules, tenant credit, and market absorption.   Multifamily Cap rates across multifamily have generally stabilized at higher levels, with performance varying by region. Investors are underwriting more conservatively, focusing on rent growth assumptions in markets experiencing new supply or policy changes. Demand fundamentals remain supported by long-term housing needs, though the pace of growth has moderated from previous peaks.   Office Office continues to undergo a period of transition as workplace patterns evolve. Cap rates in this sector have been adjusting more quickly as investors account for higher vacancies, longer lease-up timelines, and shifting space utilization. This has placed greater emphasis on asset quality, location, and repositioning potential when evaluating value.   Retail The retail sector has become increasingly segmented. Grocery-anchored and necessity-based centers have demonstrated resilience, while other formats are evolving alongside consumer behavior. Cap rate movement reflects this differentiation, with investors focusing on properties that offer stable traffic and consistent tenant demand.   Hospitality Hospitality shows one of the widest spreads between cap rates and borrowing costs, reflecting both higher perceived risk and strong income growth potential. The sector’s ability to adjust pricing dynamically has supported investor interest, particularly in markets benefiting from travel and experiential demand.   What This Means for Tenants & Property Owners For owners, higher interest rates are prompting a renewed focus on capital strategy. Refinancing decisions are becoming more central to asset management as loans mature and debt costs adjust. In response, many owners are exploring recapitalizations, restructuring, or strategic dispositions to optimize portfolio performance.   Development activity is also being evaluated more carefully. Construction financing costs have risen, making project feasibility more dependent on strong fundamentals and realistic rent projections. As a result, some projects are moving forward more selectively, while others are being phased or repositioned.   Interest rates also influence tenants, though often indirectly. As borrowing costs rise across the broader economy, businesses tend to take a more measured approach to expansion, relocation, and long-term space commitments.   In some sectors, companies are prioritizing efficiency, optimizing their footprints, and evaluating lease flexibility more closely. This can lead to longer decision timelines and more thoughtful planning around space needs.   At the same time, properties with strong locations, modern amenities, and stable tenant bases continue to perform well. For landlords, this environment reinforces the importance of tenant quality, lease durability, and consistent occupancy as key drivers of long-term value.   Outlook Commercial real estate has navigated multiple interest rate cycles over time, and the current environment represents another period of adjustment. While higher borrowing costs are reshaping pricing and strategy, they are also reinforcing a return to fundamentals. As the market continues to adapt, interest rates will remain a central factor influencing investment decisions, capital flows, and leasing behavior. The current phase reflects a broader transition as the industry aligns with a new cost of capital environment and positions for long-term stability and growth.

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San Diego, CA Retail Development Report Q4 2025

The current leasing landscape across San Diego has become increasingly fragmented, characterized by intense competition for high-quality spaces even as older, mid-sized assets in legacy centers face persistent challenges. While big-box closures have pushed absorption into negative territory, vacancy rates have only edged slightly higher and remain historically stable, keeping overall market conditions near long-term averages. Meanwhile, rent growth has begun to moderate in response to rising availability; however, the combination of limited new construction and the ongoing trend of retail-to-residential redevelopment is effectively preventing a more pronounced softening of the market.   San Diego Market Demographics Source: CoStar Group, Inc. Unemployment Rate: 4.7% Current Population: 3,314,677 Households: 1,195,666 Median Household Income: $113,294   San Diego Market Performance The San Diego retail sector ended 2025 with softening fundamentals as store closures outpaced absorption over the year. Vacancy rose to 4.5%, up 50 basis points year-over-year. The vacancy uptick has been concentrated in older power centers, neighborhood centers, and malls where closures have added to available inventory. Strip centers and general retail properties have remained stable, aided by smaller tenants and local demand. Despite the challenges, overall vacancy remains close to the long-term market average of 4.4%. Rent growth has moderated to 1.0% annually as landlords adjust to a more competitive leasing environment. Looking ahead, stable consumer demand and constrained supply are expected to support the backfilling of vacant space, keeping fundamentals within a balanced range through the near term.   La Jolla Market Activity The overall La Jolla area posted stable performance with vacancy at 4.0% at the end of Q4 2025, a small uptick following around 2,000 square feet absorbed. Vacancy remains below its five- and 10-year averages, and is forecast to hold steady through 2026. Availability is similarly tight at 4.8%, with roughly 100,000 square feet on the market and no space under construction. Asking rents average $58 per square foot, reflecting 2.1% annual growth, outperforming the broader San Diego market despite moderating from historical trends.   Development Overview La Jolla began 2026 with 10 more retail vacancies than Pacific Beach and Ocean Beach combined. Village Streetscape, a new development, will bring La Jolla landlords more leverage in achieving competitive price per square foot rates and encourage more foot traffic to support local businesses.   Pacific Beach Market Activity Pacific Beach retail maintains stable fundamentals , with vacancy declining 1.8% year-over-year to a tight 2.5%, driven by 55,000 square feet of net absorption and minimal new deliveries. Vacancy now sits well below its five- and 10-year averages and is projected to compress further by year-end. Availability remains limited at 3.0%, with 94,000 SF on the market and no space under construction. Asking rents average $41.00 per square foot, reflecting modest 0.6% annual growth, trailing the broader San Diego market but expected to accelerate through 2026.   Development Overview 4450 Lamont Street: 14-unit, mixed-use development planned and approved. Rose Creek Village: 60-unit affordable housing project serving low-income families and veterans. It broke ground on Garnet Avenue and is expected for completion by 2027. Pacific Beach owners have stated they are increasingly interested in adding residential components to existing retail properties.   Ocean Beach Market Activity The Ocean Beach area maintained solid momentum, with vacancy declining 0.8% year-over-year to 2.7%, supported by 40,000 square feet of net absorption and limited new deliveries. Vacancy remains below its five- and 10-year averages and is expected to hold near current levels through year-end. Availability stands at 3.7%, with 170,000 square feet on the market, while construction activity is minimal at 2,900 square feet. Asking rents average $38.00 per square foot, reflecting 1.0% annual growth, slightly trailing the broader San Diego market but remaining positive overall.   Development Overview Matthews™ secured two leases in the last six months here and leased an additional 3,000-square-foot space on the second floor of 4967 Newport Avenue. Strong privately-owned businesses and popups are taking advantage of lower rents and a more stable local customer base, shifting into the area from northern markets.   Transaction Activity La Jolla Matthews™ facilitated a purchase of a property on Girard Avenue for $2.2 million and are taking on the leasing assignment. Matthews™ also put Free People on the main intersection of Girard Avenue and Prospect Street. The Matthews™ team also sold the corner of Pearl Street for $2.6 million and executed a lease with Roam Hardware.   Pacific Beach 960 Turquoise Street: The Turquoise Tower developer out of Los Angeles recently acquired the French Gourmet site for $7 million. While there are no formal plans, filings, or construction underway, market assumptions have contemplated a significantly larger project that is potentially up to three times the existing footprint. This reflects longer-term investor interest along the corridor. The Matthews™ team executed 18 Pacific Beach leases in 2025. However, summer 2025 saw more vacancies in Pacific Beach than it had in over a decade. 61% of on-market retail from summer 2025 was absorbed by Q1 2026. Tavern on the Beach Bar sold for $4.4 million, and the parking lot next to Maverick’s at 870 Garnet Avenue sold for $4.35 million.   Ocean Beach Rite Aid on Niagara Avenue sold for $12.6 million, signaling that demand remains strong. Despite having one of the lowest vacancy rates in San Diego, business owners along Newport Avenue are reporting sales are down 60% from previous years.

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Amara Bagabo

Associate

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Huntsville, AL Multifamily Market Report 2025

Huntsville multifamily continues to solidify its reputation as an economic powerhouse, consistently outperforming national trends across key growth metrics. The metro’s trajectory is defined by a rapid demographic expansion as Huntsville ranks sixth in the nation for population growth, increasing by 58% since 2000. By year-end 2025, Huntsville’s population was estimated at 250,648 residents, a rise of 16.6% since the 2020 Census. Furthermore, the metro’s economic prosperity is underscored by an average household income of $108,150. With population and employment continuing to rise at a steady 3% annually, Huntsville remains a top-tier destination for new and expanding businesses seeking a high-performance workforce and a thriving innovation ecosystem.   Key Findings While the vacancy rate hit a record peak of 20.0% in early 2024, it began to decline and marked 17.9% by the end of 2025. This stability is driven by a decline in construction starts over the last two years and strong absorption rates that exceed historical averages. Average asking rents declined by -3.0% over the past 12 months, with the greatest drops in the Class A sector at -4.8%. This is largely due to the immense amount of supply that has come online in the past few years, which increased the amount of lease-up competition. To attract tenants, owners are offering an average concession of 2.7% off asking rents, which is nearly triple the national average of 1%. Huntsville’s long-term outlook remains exceptionally strong, underpinned by sustained federal and privatesector investment, a rapidly expanding aerospace and technology employment base, and disciplined growth that continues to drive population inflows, income gains, and resilient rental demand.   Huntsville Multifamily Accolades Source: CoStar Group, Inc. The U.S. Space Command headquarters will be moving to Huntsville, which will add 1,400 jobs to the metro. Key Findings $6B Eli Lilly plans on investing in a Huntsville manufacturing facility. The property will also create 450 new jobs. #5 Ranked as the best city for renters to live for 2025.   Huntsville Demographics Source: CoStar Group, Inc Current Population: 549,831 Unemployment Rate: 2.7% Median Household Income: $90,728 Households: 221,056   Employment  Growth Source: Huntsville Madison County Chamber   Population  Growth Source: Huntsville Madison County Chamber   Huntsville Multifamily Construction Multifamily construction activity across Huntsville is transitioning as the recent wave of record-high deliveries begins to peak and moderate. The market saw the number of CO’s return to historical averages, with 3,737 certificates of occupancy granted. This marks a 28% decrease from 2024. High-profile, mixed-use developments continue to shape the city, including the $350 million MidCity District and the upcoming 11-acre Front Row project downtown, which is expected to complete its 545 residential units by the second quarter of 2026. The city also just approved the North Village Town Center, a $240 million development project that will bring 500,000 square feet of new retail and restaurants.   Multifamily permits issued deceased by 32% year-over-year, with roughly 938 units being permitted. The pipeline for units under construction is also more in line with historical averages. Of the 3,257 units across 14 communities that have been approved on active sites, 2,169 still remain to come online. Due to the influx of communities that have been delivered over the past three years, the competitive environment of new deliveries in lease-up has increased concessions and stalled rent growth across the sector.   Supply & Demand Dynamics Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    Construction Starts (Units) Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    Build-to-Rent (BTR) & Single-Family Rental (SFR) Construction Huntsville remains one of the leading metros across the country for BTR and SFR additions, aided by the metro’s strong economy and increased population growth.   BTR properties are gaining popularity as they offer the space of a single-family home, but also feature the flexibility and modern amenities that renters want. Their prominence in Huntsville has led the metro to reach seventh place for BTR completions in 2024, and 10th for units underway throughout 2025.   2025 had the second-highest annual total for new housing units since the Development Review began keeping records in 1983. This is the third year in a row with a record-breaking number of new housing units, thanks to the influx of multifamily developments that began construction in late 20202023 that are coming to completion.   Huntsville Multifamily Sales Over the course of 2025, Huntsville experienced both ends of the spectrum in terms of transaction types, with the institutional segment comprising the majority of total volume, and the distressed and/or heavy value-add segment comprising the rest. That said, the mid-market space saw very minimal activity, with very few being brought to market and only one transacting.   Throughout 2025, Huntsville’s sales rose in comparison to 2024. While there were only nine transactions that totaled over $123 million in sales volume in 2024, 2025 saw an uptick in both volume and transactions, totaling $165 million over 10 transactions. Key Strengths Strong institutional demand and capital deployment Healthy pricing appreciation (19% YoY) Consistent transaction velocity (10 deals) High unit absorption (1,256 units)   Key Concerns Wide range of deals from Class A, institutional to heavy value-add B & C product Heavy volume concentration (78% in two quarters) Missing mid-market creates limited diversity   By The Numbers Source: CoStar Group, Inc.  Vacancy Rate: 17.7% Rent Growth: -2.8% Market Asking Rent Per Unit: $1,236 Under Construction: 3,257 units Absorbed: 3.026 units Delivered: 3,737 units Cap Rate: 6.1% Sales Volume: $165.8M Average Sales Price Per Unit: $160K

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Richard Lindsey

Associate

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Data Centers vs. Multifamily: How Georgia’s Growth Priorities Are Colliding

Georgia has emerged as one of the most active data center markets in the country. However, the speed and scale of this expansion are increasingly intersecting with multifamily housing priorities. What began as a straightforward economic development story is now evolving into a broader land-use and infrastructure debate, particularly across the Atlanta metro and its surrounding growth corridors.   A New Kind of Development Conflict Unlike traditional opposition to industrial usage, resistance to data center development in Georgia reflects a more nuanced shift. Communities are not outright rejecting growth. Instead, municipalities and residents are increasingly weighing which forms of development best support long-term housing needs, infrastructure capacity, and cost stability.   Large-scale data centers are capital-intensive and generate meaningful tax revenue, but they employ relatively few workers per acre. As a result, their placement on developable land has drawn greater scrutiny, especially where that land could otherwise support higher-density residential or multifamily housing. This shift has fueled a “new NIMBY” posture focused on protecting housing supply, infrastructure balance, and efficient land use rather than resisting growth outright.   Diverging Growth Trajectories Between 2023 and 2024, the Atlanta metro became the nation’s fastest-growing data center market by both absorption and power capacity, with inventory expanding at an estimated annual rate of roughly 43%. Over the same period, multifamily and adjacent residential product types grew at a fraction of that pace, generally under 3% annually.   While there are no widespread reports of multifamily shortages directly constraining data center expansion, the inverse concern has become more prominent. Local governments are increasingly questioning whether or not large tracts of land are being absorbed by low-employment industrial uses at a time when housing affordability and supply remain politically sensitive.   Policy Response and Municipal Pushback By early 2026, at least ten Georgia municipalities had enacted moratoriums or zoning restrictions targeting new data center development. At the state level, proposed legislation has called for greater transparency around land use, reconsideration of tax incentives, and, in some cases, broader limits on future approvals.   Community opposition has focused less on the existence of data centers and more on proximity and scale. Projects located near residential neighborhoods have faced resistance due to persistent cooling-system noise, increased traffic, visual impacts, and concerns around environmental externalities. These issues often overlap with the same suburban markets where multifamily developers are seeking entitlements and infrastructure access.   The Hidden Bottleneck The most significant point of friction between data centers and multifamily housing lies in shared infrastructure, particularly power and water.   In December 2025, the Georgia Public Service Commission approved Georgia Power’s plan to add nearly 9,885 megawatts of new generation capacity, largely to support projected data center demand. While the more than $16 billion expansion, the largest in state history, enables continued growth, it has raised concerns around long-term rate impacts, if demand projections fall short. For multifamily operators, utility cost volatility is increasingly a material underwriting variable.   Water usage has emerged as a parallel issue. Hyperscale data centers can require millions of gallons per day for cooling, intensifying drought-related concerns in certain submarkets and prompting questions around whether industrial cooling demands should take precedence over residential or agricultural needs.   Growth Still Moving Forward Despite growing resistance, large-scale approvals continue in select jurisdictions. In January 2026, the Spalding County Board of Commissioners unanimously approved zoning for a $3.9 billion data center campus proposed by Wallace Jackson LLC. The 190-acre project, which allows for up to ten buildings totaling nearly five million square feet, ranks among the largest recent data center approvals in the metro region. Local officials framed the decision around long-term tax revenue and fiscal stability, underscoring how responses to data center growth remain uneven across the state.   Implications for Multifamily Investors For multifamily developers and investors, Georgia’s data center boom is neither purely a tailwind nor a headwind. Instead, it introduces new layers of complexity around site selection, entitlement risk, and infrastructure coordination.   Markets with heavy data center concentration may face tighter competition for land, power, and water. At the same time, municipalities seeking to rebalance development priorities may grow more receptive to higher-density residential proposals that demonstrate efficient land use and infrastructure alignment.   A Balancing Act Going Forward Georgia’s experience underscores how next-generation infrastructure uses are reshaping traditional real estate dynamics. Data centers remain an economic asset, reinforcing the state’s role in the digital economy. At the same time, their rapid expansion increasingly competes with multifamily and residential priorities through shared land, utilities, and political attention.   For commercial real estate stakeholders, the takeaway is clear: growth in one sector is now materially influencing feasibility, costs, and approvals in another. Understanding how data center expansion intersects with housing, infrastructure, and policy will remain a defining CRE consideration in Georgia through the remainder of the decade.

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Connor Kerns

First Vice President & Associate Director

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Auction Services Report EOY 2025

Macro-Transaction | Volume & Pricing Summary Key Highlights Market Liquidity and Growth Rebound U.S. commercial property sales climbed significantly in 2025, with transaction volume reaching $545.3 billion. This represented a 23% year-over-year increase, a higher level than 2024, suggesting ongoing improvements in market liquidity. Even when taking out significant one-off data center transactions, investment volume still grew by 19% due to rebounding deal activity across every major sector.   Rise of Individual Assets Individual asset sales have become a dominant portion of the market, accounting for 77% of all activity in 2025. This is a notable shift from the 2005–2022 average, where portfolio and entity-level deals held a larger 31% share. As interest rates remain structurally higher, future performance is expected to be driven by property-level fundamentals and asset selection rather than broad top-down allocation.   Pricing Stabilization and Cap Rate Normalization Overall pricing improved in 2025, with the RCA CPPI All-Property Index edging up 0.2% year-over-year. While cap rates have climbed from the record lows of 2022, most sectors have now reached levels considered historically normal. The office sector remains an exception, with cap rates for both CBD and suburban properties currently sitting higher than their 25-year average.   CRE Market Watch Rising Liquidity vs. Structural Distress CRE capital markets are gearing up for a busier 2026. Private-label CRE securitization volume is forecast to reach $183 billion this year, marking a post-Global Financial Crisis high and an 18% increase over 2025. This surge is driven by moderating borrowing costs, liquid capital markets, and sustained investor demand. Single-borrower transactions are expected to lead the market, accounting for more than half of total issuance.   Maturity Wall Drives Elevated Distress Despite robust issuance, loan distress is expected to remain elevated through 2026 as $525 billion in loans reach maturity. The loan distress rate, which includes 30+ day delinquencies and current but specially serviced loans, climbed to 10.9% in late 2025, up significantly from 6.7% at the end of 2023. While higher issuance volume may help moderate the rate of distress by growing the denominator, the absolute dollar volume of troubled loans is expected to rise further before flattening out later in the year.   CMBS Distress Forecast to Reach 15% by Year-End 2026 The CMBS distress rate is forecast to reach between 14.5% and 15.0% by December 2026 as borrowers face a hostile refinancing environment. This surge follows a massive 148% increase in distress over the past 43 months, rising from 4.83% in mid-2022 to nearly 12% in early 2026. Special servicers are adopting an increasingly aggressive posture as foreclosure now dominates workout strategies at 39.1%, while collaborative loan modifications have slowed to just 20.3%. With note sales accounting for nearly 19% of resolutions, servicers are prioritizing risk transfer to distressed debt investors over prolonged asset workouts.   Sector Hotspots: Office and Industrial Shifts Office Concentration The office sector remains the primary driver of distress, with a distress rate of 17.4% as of late 2025. Trepp reports that 345 office loans totaling $13.72 billion are due to mature in 2026, with over $2 billion of that total carrying a debt service coverage ratio of 1.09x or less, making them high-risk for refinancing.   Industrial Weakening While the overall CMBS delinquency rate dipped slightly to 7.7% in December 2025, distress began to tick up in previously resilient sectors like industrial.   Retail Resilience Retail continues to benefit from limited new supply and steady sales growth, though mall properties remain a pocket of high stress with an 11.2% delinquency rate.   REO and Modification Trends U.S. banks have proactively managed borrower stress by increasing loan modifications, which surged 66% year-over-year as of mid-2025. While total Real Estate Owned balances remain a fraction of GFC-era peaks ($4.1 billion vs. $51 billion), the higher-for-longer interest rate environment is forcing a shift in lender strategy. Lenders are increasingly selling standalone notes off their books to redeploy capital into higher-yielding loans, creating new opportunities for Main Street private capital buyers to acquire middle-market debt at a discount.

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Robert Anderson

Vice President of Auction Services

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The Matthews™ Podcast — Bo Kemp

Bo Kemp on the Strategic Advantage in Regional Development In this episode of the Matthews™ Podcast, host Matthew Wallace is joined by Bo Kemp, CEO of the Southland Development Authority, to discuss how regions compete for transformative projects in an era where infrastructure, power, and coordination determine where capital can actually deploy.   With a focus on aligning municipalities, investors, and long-term infrastructure planning across Chicago’s Southland, Kemp shares why economic development today is less about incentives and more about execution at scale. The Rise of Powered Land as the New Competitive Edge For decades, location and labor drove site selection. Today, Kemp explains, the defining variable is power.   Data Center Demand: Next-generation industrial users, particularly data centers, require massive, reliable power loads that few regions can deliver immediately. Infrastructure Readiness: It’s not just acreage that matters, but contiguous, develpment ready land with utilities, water access, grid connectivity, and workforce support. Grid Access Advantage: Chicago’s Southlands benefits from access to two electrical grids, including PJM, creating flexibility and capacity that many competing markets cnanot offer. Long Horizon Development in a Short-Term World Kemp emphasizes that the hardest part of large-scale development isn’t attracting interest but aligning stakeholders around projects that require 50- to 100-year thinking.   Public-Private Alignment: Successful projects demand trust between municipalities, utilities, developers, and capital partners. Political and Community Buy-In: Without local-level cohesion, even well-capitalized projects can stall. Strategic Patience: Regions that plan infrastructure ahead of demand are the ones positioned to capture generational investment. Capital Meets Infrastructure Looking ahead, Kemp discusses new initiatives designed to bridge real estate investment with energy and infrastructure strategy. Horizon South Realty Group: A platform focused on unlocking development opportunities across the Southland. The $100M Monarch Fund: A vehicle designed to pair equity with infrastructure and energy initiatives to accelerate large-scale projects. Key Takeaways for CRE Professionals Think Beyond the Dirt: Land value increasingly depends on power and access to infrastructure, not just location. Follow the Utilities: Grid capacity and energy strategy are becoming primary drivers of capital allocation. Alignment is the Asset: Regions that can coordinate across public and private sectors will win the next cycle of industrial growth.  

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Mobile Home Parks in 2026: Resilience, Scrutiny, and Strategy

For mobile home park owners and investors, access to accurate, market-specific data is now a competitive advantage. As affordability pressures reshape demand and institutional capital expands its footprint, informed decisions increasingly depend on understanding pricing, rent growth, expense trends, and buyer behavior at the submarket level.   Over the past decade, manufactured housing has transitioned from an overlooked niche into one of the most resilient asset classes in commercial real estate. Supported by durable demand and limited new supply, mobile home parks have emerged as a core solution within the broader affordable housing landscape.   Entering 2026, fundamentals remain strong. Premium communities are trading at cap rates in the 4%–5% range, while stabilized assets typically transact between 5% and 7%. Occupancy has climbed from approximately 86.5% ten years ago to nearly 94% nationally, reinforcing the sector’s structural demand and long-term relevance.   Florida continues to lead the market, as lot rent growth across the state has averaged 5.5%–11% annually, supported by population inflows and housing affordability constraints. In 2025, the Tampa market alone recorded population growth of approximately 1.9%. With median home prices exceeding $400,000 in many major metros, demand for attainable housing remains firmly in place.   At the same time, regulatory scrutiny is increasing. Recent displacement events following mobile home park sales, such as those in Cary, North Carolina, have highlighted vulnerabilities within the land-lease model and accelerated policy attention. As lawmakers respond, owners should anticipate expanded tenant protections, right-of-first-refusal proposals, and renewed discussions around rent regulation.   In this environment, proactive operators will be better positioned than reactive ones. Transparent communication, measured rent growth, and sustained community investment are becoming differentiators as oversight intensifies.   From a transactional standpoint, conditions remain favorable for sellers, though the window may be narrowing. Institutional and private equity capital continues to support competitive pricing, with recent transactions indicating that well-marketed assets can achieve pricing 8%–15% above initial expectations. Improving financing conditions and expectations of future rate cuts are further expanding the buyer pool.   For many owners, current pricing presents an opportunity to evaluate an exit or pursue a 1031 exchange into more passive strategies. The question isn’t whether or not to sell; it’s whether assets are positioned to capture peak value.   Looking ahead, three forces are likely to shape the sector in 2026: ongoing institutional consolidation, rising infrastructure and capital expenditure requirements, and widening gaps between market rents and in-place rents at legacy-owned communities. How owners navigate these dynamics will define both risk and opportunity in the year ahead.

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Arthur Varela

Associate

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Industrial Real Estate in 2026: A Return to Discipline

In 2026, the industrial real estate sector is entering a more disciplined phase. After several years of rapid expansion driven by e-commerce growth, supply chain reconfiguration, and elevated logistics demand, the market is shifting away from scale-driven growth.   Instead, performance is increasingly defined by asset quality, functional relevance, and a more measured approach to new supply.   From Expansion to Recalibration Following an extended period of development fueled by pandemic-era demand acceleration, new industrial deliveries are contracting sharply. Projected supply in 2026 is expected to be among the lowest levels of the past cycle, as developers shift away from broad-based construction and toward build-to-suit and owner-user projects.   This slowdown in new supply coincides with vacancy rates that rose through 2024 and 2025 as completions outpaced absorption. In many markets, vacancy now appears to be stabilizing or approaching cyclical peaks, signaling a shift toward more balanced operating conditions. For landlords and investors, this represents a meaningful departure from the oversupplied environment that defined the latter part of the expansion cycle.   Functional Performance and Location Shape Demand Occupier demand in 2026 is increasingly driven by functionality rather than footprint expansion. Tenants are prioritizing modern facilities that support automation, higher power requirements, and efficient connectivity. These features command a clear premium in both leasing and investment markets. The emphasis has shifted toward assets that enhance operational efficiency and reduce long-term friction.   Geographically, demand continues to broaden beyond traditional coastal megacenters. Regional hubs across the Sunbelt, Southeast, Midwest, and inland logistics corridors are capturing increased attention.This comes as occupiers seek flexible, cost-efficient access to population centers, manufacturing nodes, and transportation infrastructure.   In practice, industrial demand is becoming more segmented: Large-format logistics users remain active in established distribution and manufacturing hubs. Small-bay and micro-warehouse product, particularly last-mile and infill locations, remains exceptionally tight, often posting vacancy below 5% and standing out as one of the most competitive subsectors.   Rent Growth and Vacancy: A More Balanced Environment Rent growth in 2026 is expected to remain positive, yet moderate, reflecting healthier supply-demand alignment. National asking rents have slowed from pandemic-era highs to more sustained levels. While certain markets may experience softer performance in large-box space where vacancy remains elevated, long-term rent fundamentals remain intact, particularly for well-located, functional assets.   Vacancy trends are increasingly market-specific, tightening in regions where supply has pulled back most aggressively, while remaining higher in areas that absorbed outsized development over the past cycle. This divergence reinforces the growing importance of asset selection and submarket-level analysis.   Capital Markets and Deal Strategy From an investment perspective, 2026 is shaping up as a year defined by selectivity rather than broad-based recovery. Capital is gravitating toward: Institutional-quality logistics facilities with strong tenant credit Build-to-core opportunities offering long-duration income and operational visibility Markets aligned with reshoring activity, manufacturing investment, and sustained population growth Investors are also placing greater emphasis on adaptability and long-term resilience. Assets capable of supporting automation, higher power loads, and energy-ready infrastructure are increasingly viewed as core drivers of value, alongside traditional considerations such as location and access.   What This Means for 2026 Industrial activity this year reflects a return to fundamentals. Development discipline is restoring balance, tenant demand is increasingly driven by functional requirements, and investment capital is concentrating on assets that offer durability rather than scale. For CRE professionals, opportunity lies less in speculative expansion and more in identifying where industrial real estate delivers tangible operational value. In a market that increasingly rewards quality, adaptability, and performance, understanding how assets align with tenant needs and long-term economic drivers will define success.  

Image of Central Will, IL Industrial Market Report Q4 2025 Success Story

Central Will, IL Industrial Market Report Q4 2025

Central Will’s industrial market closed 2025 with strong fundamentals, supported by limited vacancy, steady rent growth, and stable investment activity. Vacancy rose modestly to just over 1% following recent deliveries and slight negative absorption, but remains well below long-term historical averages, underscoring the submarket’s supply-constrained environment. Asking rents continued to upward through the year, reflecting sustained tenant demand and positioning the submarket for continued, moderate growth. Development activity has picked up, with new space underway above historical norms, which may gradually ease conditions. Meanwhile, sales activity remained consistent with long-term averages, indicating steady investor interest. Overall, Central Will enters 2026 on stable footing, with balanced fundamentals and measured growth expected.   Key Highlights Vacancy rose to 1.24% in Q4 2025 following recent deliveries, but remains well below the 10-year average of 5.7%, underscoring the submarket’s long-term supply constraints. Asking rents reached $7.62/SF in Q4 2025, reflecting steady annual growth, while small to mid-size industrial buildings are achieving $8–$15/SF, with newer and higher-quality properties reaching the top of that range. Thirteen properties traded over the past year totaling $26.5 million, with pricing near $88/SF and cap rates averaging 7.9%, signaling stable investor demand in a disciplined capital markets environment. Rents Central Will’s industrial rents closed 2025 on a strong note, with asking rents reaching $7.62/SF in Q4. This marks a steady climb from $7.30/SF in Q4 2024 and a notable increase from $6.44/SF at the end of 2022, highlighting consistent long-term growth. While rents fluctuated throughout 2025, the overall annual trend remained upward, supported by limited new supply and tight market conditions. Looking ahead, rent growth is expected to continue at a measured pace, with annual increases projected to remain above the broader Chicago average through 2026.   Market Asking Rent Per SF Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Vacancy The vacancy rate across Central Will rose to 1.24% in Q4 2025, marking an increase from 0.45% in Q4 2024 and signaling a modest easing after several years of extremely tight conditions. The late-2025 uptick reflects recent deliveries and slight negative absorption, though overall availability remains limited by long-term standards. Despite this recent rise, vacancy is expected to remain low relative to historical averages. Projections indicate a gradual increase through 2026, potentially reaching the mid-1% range as new space delivers and leasing activity stabilizes.   Vacancy Rate Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Construction New construction activity across the broader market moderated in 2025 but remains elevated relative to pre-2023 levels. As of Q4 2025, 5.6 million SF is under construction, up from 4.7 million SF one year earlier but significantly below the peak pipeline of more than 13 million SF recorded in early 2022. While the pipeline has normalized from its historic highs, ongoing deliveries will continue to shape vacancy and rent growth trends as new supply is absorbed across the market.   SF Under Construction Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Sales Will County’s industrial investment market demonstrated stability in 2025, with 13 transactions totaling $26.5 million and approximately 360,000 SF in inventory turnover over the past year. Annual sales volume remains in line with historical norms, compared to the five-year average of $27.8 million, signaling consistent investor engagement despite broader capital market shifts. Q4 2025 recorded $13.5 million in sales, with pricing reaching $87/SF, reflecting continued appreciation from the mid-$70/SF range seen in prior years. Overall market pricing is estimated at $88/SF, below the broader market average of $98/SF, while cap rates average 7.9%, slightly tighter than the regional benchmark.   Sales Volume & Market Sale Price Per SF Source: CoStar Group, Inc. | 10k – 15K SF   By the Numbers Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Sales Volume: $13.5M Cap Rate: 7.9% Price Per SF: $87 Vacancy Rate: 1.2% Rent Growth (YoY): 4.3% Asking Rent Per SF: $7.62 Under Construction (SF): 5.6M Delivered (SF): 34K Absorbed (SF): 4.5M  

Image of Texas Retail Market Report | Recap & Future Expectations Success Story

Texas Retail Market Report | Recap & Future Expectations

The Texas retail market continues to serve as a top location for resilience and growth in 2026. Driven by robust inward migration and a diverse corporate sector, the state’s major metros are successfully navigating the headwinds of high interest rates and national tenant shifts. While Austin maintains its status as the occupancy leader and Houston enters a strategic recovery, Dallas-Fort Worth stands out for its development pipeline. With construction levels reaching decade-highs and a clear shift toward experiential, grocery-anchored suburban hubs, the Texas retail landscape is evolving.   By the Numbers | Q4 2025 CoStar Group, Inc. Dallas-Fort Worth Sales Volume: $84.1M Price Per SF: $276 Cap Rate: 6.7% Vacancy Rate: 4.9% Rent Growth: 3.4% Asking Rent Per SF: $224.98 Under Construction: 7.8M SF Delivered: 595K SF Absorbed: 791K SF   Austin Sales Volume: $62.6M Price Per SF: $340 Cap Rate: 6.3% Vacancy Rate: 3.1% Rent Growth: 2.6% Asking Rent Per SF: $31.64 Under Construction: 2.8M SF Delivered: 545K SF Absorbed: 383K SF   Houston Sales Volume: $368M Price Per SF: $248 Cap Rate: 7.3% Vacancy Rate: 5.3% Rent Growth: 2.1% Asking Rent Per SF: $24.59 Under Construction: 3.4M SF Delivered: 537K SF Absorbed: 556K SF   Dallas Leads Nation in Retail Growth Across Dallas-Fort Worth, retail fundamentals continue to show strong resilience and balanced performance. The metro has maintained positive tenant demand for 20 consecutive quarters, despite navigating headwinds from national tenant bankruptcies. Dallas-Fort Worth is currently a national leader in retail construction, with nearly twice the new supply as Houston. While vacancy rates are projected to reach 5% in the first half of 2026 due to new deliveries, demand remains robust across the metro.   North DFW Surge in Demand Investor and developer interest has increasingly focused on the high-growth northern areas of the metro. Denton and Collin Counties account for roughly 65% of all current construction projects. Submarkets like Allen, McKinney, Frisco, and Prosper are primary targets for capital, due to rapid population growth and high household incomes. Specifically, Northern Collin County has seen the time to lease fall to historic lows of approximately five months, driven by a lack of new developments in established trade areas.   The market’s expansion follows opportunities in outlying areas, where major grocery-anchored developments aid further strip mall and traditional shopping center construction. In areas like Collin County, the premium on land has pushed starting rents around $40 to $45 per square foot.   Metro Reaches Record-Breaking Construction Levels DFW is experiencing an ongoing supply wave, reaching 7 million square feet underway at the end of 2025. This is one of the highest development rates recorded for the metro in 10 years. In 2025, the market completed 18% of all net retail deliveries in the country. Despite this surge, supply-side risk is limited as approximately 80% of the retail space currently under construction is already pre-leased.   Mixed-use projects are also driving significant activity. In Collin County, major developments like The Farm in Allen and Fields West in Frisco are creating new retail and residential hubs that feature experiential retailers and unique luxury offerings.   Austin Achieves Robust Retail Activity Across the Austin metro, retail fundamentals are strong, backed by high occupancy, disciplined new development, and constant population growth. According to Matthews™ First Vice President and Director Andrew Ivankovich, the strong transaction velocity seen at the end of 2025 will continue through 2026. “The market experienced such a frenzy from 2019 to 2022 that it made it challenging for deals to pencil in the few years that followed,” he said. “Sellers’ expectations did not change and high interest rates prevented buyers from acting. Today, both sides have improved and we expect it to be reflected in the year-end velocity report.” Shift to the Suburbs Ivankovich added that retail capital has begun to exit Austin’s CBD and is entering suburban markets. In particular, Hays County and Georgetown accounted for an increased amount of the metro’s deals. Private buyers are attracted to Hays County, with the submarket noting a total $21 million in sales for 2025. Meanwhile, Georgetown recorded a rise in deals for newly-built properties and noted a total $51.5 million for its 2025 sales volume. Both submarkets will be crucial to track moving forward given their constant population growth, as well as Round Rock and Cedar Park.   In 2025, Austin’s retail under construction level saw a 38% year-over-year increase, reaching 2.1 million square feet. The metro’s suburbs accounted for more than 96% of all completions last year. Manor is one suburb that stands out from the pack as its inventory grew by 50% throughout the year. The majority of its growth is attributed to the addition of Manor Crossing, a 425,000-square-foot shopping center that was almost fully pre-leased by its completion date.   This year, Cedar Park is the next Austin suburb to note an influx of deliveries. The suburb accounts for 33% of ongoing construction, with Cedar View as the largest development. The new project is a mixed-use site that will feature a hotel, a Scheels sporting goods store, and NFM as its anchor.   Houston is Set to Recover from 2025 Performance Throughout 2025, Houston’s fundamental activity dropped to historic lows. Its total absorption level for 2025 was 2 million square feet, a decrease from the 2024 absorption rate of 2.5 million square feet. Despite this trend, Houston’s sales volume jumped from 2024 and totaled $1 billion by year-end 2025. Josh Longoria, Senior Associate at Matthews™, expects this activity to continue as the federal funds rate slows down. “As we head into the second month of the year, the federal funds rate has been stable and it seems like there will be no more rate cuts until the new Fed chair is elected,” Longoria said. “I think this will lead to more stability in the market and buyers having more clear expectations of where rates will be, and therefore I think transaction velocity will pick back up.”   Tenants Thriving Across Houston 7 Brew and Crunch Fitness are currently two of the largest players in the metro. Crunch Fitness is absorbing sites left by big-box retailers, while 7 Brew is taking up pad sites around 500 to 700 square feet.   Texas is a major market for Crunch Fitness, with a strong presence in the Houston submarkets of Kirkwood, League City, and Humble. Crunch Fitness is a preferred tenant for landlords with vacancies over 35,000 square feet. In 2025, the tenant reached 3 million gym memberships. Specifically in Houston, their locations boast fully booked exercise classes, which signals its robust consumer demand. Crunch Fitness’ growing visitations display its positive activity and add to its strong tenant potential.   7 Brew is one of the fastest-growing coffee chains across the country, doubling its national footprint by the end of 2025. In Houston, its expansion is prominent in outer submarkets, with its most recent and upcoming locations in Conroe, Tomball, Spring, Livingston, and Cleveland. With more openings planned across the metro, 7 Brew will maintain its top performance levels as its format allows for easy store placement and a shorter timeframe for opening than a traditional buildout.   Top Trends to Watch Moving ahead, Longoria advises landlords to pay attention to their tenants and their sales trends. “I have heard from multiple landlords that the restaurants and beverage concepts are doing as well as they have previously,” he said. “High-end restaurants are not getting as much traffic, which is helping the lower-priced options.”   Longoria added that he expects construction activity to pick back up as it has been slow throughout the past few years. “Development is going to come back into full effect as the cost breakdown to build new construction did not make sense and the spread was too thin,” Longoria stated. Specifically, Longoria said that new developments are likely to grow in the 610 Loop. One of the largest additions inside the 610 Loop is Midway’s East River project. The facility is located on the former KBR industrial site east of Downtown, and will add more than 1 million square feet to the area.

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Andrew Ivankovich

First Vice President & Director

Image of Los Angeles Strengthens Eviction Protections and Habitability Standards Heading Into 2026 Success Story

Los Angeles Strengthens Eviction Protections and Habitability Standards Heading Into 2026

Los Angeles has enacted a new round of housing legislation that meaningfully changes how rental properties are owned, operated, and underwritten. As of early 2026, updated eviction rules and habitability standards have expanded tenant protections, extended enforcement timelines, and shifted additional capital and operational responsibility onto housing providers.   Together, these changes affect when evictions can occur, how much unpaid rent is required before legal action is permitted, and what constitutes a legally “habitable” unit.   Just-Cause Evictions Apply Broadly Across the Market One of the most consequential changes is the near-universal application of just-cause eviction requirements. Nearly all residential rental units in Los Angeles, including single-family homes and condominiums, are now subject to just-cause protections once a tenant has occupied a unit for six months.   While at-fault evictions, such as nonpayment of rent or lease violations, remain permissible, no-fault terminations have become significantly more restrictive. Owner move-ins or major renovations now trigger mandatory relocation payments that can exceed $20,000 for long-term or vulnerable tenants. In practice, this has removed much of the flexibility owners once had to recover units without incurring meaningful cost.   Higher Bar for Nonpayment Evictions In February 2026, the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors voted to raise the nonpayment eviction threshold in unincorporated areas to two months of Fair Market Rent. While the City of Los Angeles continues to maintain a one-month FMR threshold, the county’s move reflects a broader policy trend toward delaying enforcement and increasing tenant protections.   For operators, this change can allow arrears to grow substantially before an eviction filing is even permitted. In higher-rent units, that delay can translate into several thousand dollars in unpaid rent, increasing short-term cash flow exposure and placing more pressure on reserves and rent collection discipline.   Right to Counsel and New Habitability Requirements The Right to Counsel for income-qualified tenants is now fully in effect. Tenants earning at or below 80 percent of Area Median Income are entitled to legal representation in eviction proceedings. Landlords are also required to include a formal Notice of Right to Counsel, provided in the tenant’s primary language, with any eviction notice. Failure to comply can result in immediate dismissal of a case.   Separately, state law has expanded habitability standards as of January 1, 2026. Landlords are now required to provide and maintain a working stove and refrigerator in most residential units. This change eliminates the long-standing no-appliance rental model common in Southern California and introduces new maintenance obligations, as well as additional exposure to repair-and-deduct claims.   Implications for Owners, Investors, and Underwriting The combined effect of these measures is a rental environment where evictions are slower, more technical, and more expensive. Regulatory risk is no longer a background consideration in Los Angeles; it is now central to asset performance.   Several operational realities are becoming increasingly important in 2026: Rent caps remain constrained: As of February 2, 2026, the city implemented a new RSO rent increase formula that caps annual increases at 1% to 4% and removes the utility passthrough previously available to landlords. Eviction timelines are longer: With legal representation now common, unlawful detainer actions that once resolved in roughly two months can extend six to nine months if contested. Maintenance issues carry greater legal weight: Under expanded habitability standards, something as routine as a non-functioning refrigerator can pause enforcement and derail an eviction case.   Looking Ahead Los Angeles has firmly moved away from a light-regulation model. For housing providers, preserving value now depends on disciplined operations, thorough documentation, and underwriting assumptions that reflect longer timelines, higher compliance costs, and tighter revenue ceilings.   In this environment, local regulatory knowledge and operational execution are no longer differentiators, they are requirements.

Image of Colorado Springs Industrial 2025 Year End Summary Success Story

Colorado Springs Industrial 2025 Year End Summary

Key Findings Buyer Demand Is Back — Sales Volume Surged More Than 50%: 2025 marked a clear re-acceleration in buyer demand across the Colorado Springs industrial and flex market. Sales volume jumped 50.8% year-over-year, rising from $114.5 million in 2024 to $172.6 million in 2025, with momentum building steadily through the year and closing with a very strong second and fourth quarter. Buyers that remained on the sidelines in 2023 and 2024 are now actively re-entering the market. Rents Are Rising While Vacancy Remains Tight — A Landlord-Favorable Setup: Colorado Springs continues to rank among the most balanced industrial markets on the Front Range. Vacancy held steady at just 5.2% while asking rents increased 6.7% year-over-year, reaching record highs in Q4, underscoring the market’s ability to support rent growth without signs of stress. As macroeconomic conditions have begun to stabilize and interest rate expectations have become clearer, tenants that delayed expansion or relocation decisions in prior years have started to move forward. Development Is Disciplined — No Oversupply Risk on the Horizon: Colorado Springs has avoided the oversupply challenges seen in several Front Range markets by maintaining a disciplined development environment. While under-construction inventory dipped marginally in 2025, construction has remained elevated over the past five years, driven largely by pre-leased and build-to-suit activity as of late. This approach has helped align new supply with tenant demand and preserve market balance heading into 2026.   Focused Metrics 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties   Colorado Springs Industrial Sales Activity Sales activity in the Colorado Springs industrial and flex market showed meaningful acceleration in 2025, driven by renewed buyer confidence and improved market clarity. Total annual sales volume reached $172.6 million, up from $114.5 million in 2024, representing a significant 50.8% year-over-year increase. While Q1 activity was essentially f lat year-over-year, sales volume increased sharply in Q2 and remained elevated throughout the balance of the year with a strong Q4 close.   This improvement reflects greater confidence among investors and owner-users as pricing expectations stabilized, interest rate volatility moderated, and long-term fundamentals in Colorado Springs—such as sustained population growth, a strong defense presence, and limited industrial land availability—continued to support demand. As uncertainty eased, buyers that delayed acquisitions in prior years re-entered the market, driving higher transaction activity and positioning Colorado Springs for continued sales momentum heading into 2026.   Colorado Springs Industrial Sales Volume 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Sale pricing in 2025 reflected a recalibration phase rather than a true correction. The quarterly average sale price finished the year at $148 per SF, up from $134 per SF in 2024, representing a 10.4% year-over-year increase. While pricing softened modestly through mid-year, Q4 rebounded strongly at $169 per SF, signaling renewed competition for well-located, functional product.   Pricing behavior in 2025 reflected an ongoing adjustment process rather than a steady upward trajectory. Sale prices fluctuated quarter to quarter as buyers and sellers responded to shifting market conditions, variations in deal composition, and asset-specific fundamentals. The rebound in Q4 demonstrates that well-located, functional industrial product continues to attract competitive pricing, even as the broader market works through pricing alignment. This suggests that Colorado Springs continues to benefit from strong user demand and limited availability of high-quality inventory in the 5,000–200,000 SF range.   Sales Price Per SF 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Time on market trended higher in 2025, averaging 6.6 months, up from 5.5 months in 2024, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase. As market conditions strengthened, sellers became less pressured to transact quickly and were more willing to test pricing, while buyers navigated more rigorous underwriting and diligence upfront along with growing inventory of available opportunities. This dynamic led to longer exposure periods, even as demand remained healthy and overall deal activity accelerated. Despite a significant increase in the annual average compared to 2024, the trend showed a clear downward trajectory as the year progressed, suggesting months on market will continue to stabilize in 2026.   Months on Market 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Colorado Springs Industrial Vacancy & Rents Vacancy in the Colorado Springs industrial and flex market for buildings between 5,000-200,000 SF remained well-controlled in 2025, averaging 5.2%, unchanged from 2024. While vacancy ticked up slightly in the second half of the year, levels remained comfortably below historical measures and several hundred basis points below many peer Front Range markets such as Denver that had an average vacancy rate of 8.6% in 2025. Smaller-bay units under 20,000 square feet continued to outperform the broader market, with vacancy averaging just 3.7% for the year, underscoring sustained demand and limited new supply.   This stability reflects a balanced supply pipeline and steady absorption from local users, defense contractors, and advanced manufacturing tenants. The consistency in vacancy also suggests that recent construction has been well-absorbed and that speculative development remains disciplined.   Colorado Springs Industrial Vacancy Rate 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Asking rents continued their upward trajectory in 2025, finishing the year with a quarterly average of $11.73 per SF, up from $10.99 per SF in 2024, representing a 6.7% year-over-year increase. Rents climbed steadily throughout the year, peaking in Q4 at $12.34 per SF, a new record high.   Despite broader economic headwinds, rent growth highlights the strength of tenant demand for modern industrial and flex space and the limited availability of high-quality inventory. The ability for landlords to push rents in a stable vacancy environment reinforces the market’s long-term fundamentals.   Asking Rent Per SF 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Leasing velocity improved modestly in 2025, with average time to lease declining to 4.8 months, compared to 5.0 months in 2024. After a slower summer leasing season, Q4 rebounded sharply with the fastest quarterly leasing average of the past two years at just 3.4 months.   This improvement reflects growing urgency and confidence as companies resumed growth strategies that had been delayed by macroeconomic uncertainty in prior quarters. The strong year-end leasing pace suggests healthy absorption momentum entering 2026.   Months to Lease 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Colorado Springs Industrial Construction Development activity remained strong in 2025, with total construction starts reaching 494,462 SF, nearly matching 2024’s pipeline. The majority of activity occurred in Q2 with 234,322 SF breaking ground, followed by a stronger Q4 with over 252,000 SF in new construction starts.   Importantly, the bulk of these construction starts were concentrated in larger, big-box industrial projects, as development economics continue to favor scale. While financing costs have moderated from their 2023–2024 peaks as capital markets loosened, borrowing rates remain elevated relative to pre-pandemic norms. Combined with higher land, labor, and material costs, this has made it difficult for developers to pencil speculative industrial and flex buildings under 20,000 SF, further constraining new supply in the small-bay segment.   SF Construction Starts 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Projects under construction averaged 462,005 SF per quarter in 2025, down slightly from 517,381 SF in 2024. While the pipeline expanded late in the year, overall construction levels remain disciplined and well-aligned with tenant demand.   The controlled pace of new supply, combined with stable vacancy and rising rents, suggests that Colorado Springs remains one of the more balanced and resilient industrial markets along the Front Range. Developers appear focused on measured growth rather than speculative expansion, reinforcing the market’s long-term stability.   SF Under Construction 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    2025 Buyer & Seller Composition 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    Sales by Buyer Origin 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.

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Spencer Mason

Vice President

Image of Northern Colorado Industrial 2025 Year End Summary Success Story

Northern Colorado Industrial 2025 Year End Summary

Key Findings Sales Activity Rebounds Late in the Year: After a slow start, sales volume strengthened in the second half of 2025, pushing total transactions up 6.5% year-over-year to $468.8 million. A strong fourth quarter marked the highest Q4 performance since 2021, signaling renewed buyer confidence. Tenants Grow More Selective, Yet Rents Remain Resilient: Vacancy and leasing timelines increased in 2025 as tenants exercised greater caution, but asking rents continued to rise. Demand for well-located, high-quality space and limited new supply supported rent growth, with landlords offering greater flexibility through incentives. Development Activity Pulls Back: Construction starts and under construction inventory declined year-over-year, resulting in the lowest development pipeline in a decade. New activity remains focused on pre-leased and build-to-suit projects, reflecting ongoing caution amid elevated construction costs and adapting market demand.   Focused Metrics 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties   Northern Colorado Industrial Sales Activity Sales performance shows a clear rebound pattern marked by volatility early in the year and strength towards the end. In 2025, total sales reached $468.8 million, representing a 6.5% year-over-year increase in comparison to $440.2 million in 2024, despite a notably slow first quarter. Sales fell sharply from $137.8 million in Q1 2024 to $71.5 million in Q1 2025, suggesting early year headwinds, likely tied to delayed market demand from tighter financial conditions and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, momentum accelerated significantly as the year progressed, highlighted by a 124.4% increase from Q3 2025, signaling a strong recovery in buyer activity. The surge in Q4 2025 to $165.6 million marks the highest fourth quarter performance since 2021, prior to the onset of interest rate hikes, indicating renewed market confidence from improving financing conditions and market fundamentals. Overall, the data suggests that while macroeconomic pressures constrained early sales, pent-up demand and improving conditions fueled a strong fourth quarter recovery, positioning the market for continued growth into 2026.   Northern Colorado Industrial Sales Volume 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Sale price per square foot data indicates a continued pricing adjustment toward market equilibrium, reflecting shifting seller and buyer expectations. In 2025, the quarterly average sale price declined to $157 per square foot, representing a 4.8% decrease from $165 per square foot in 2024, alongside a 9.9% quarter-over-quarter decline. Unlike the pronounced volatility seen in 2024, 2025 showcased relatively steady and consistent pricing throughout the year, signaling the emergence of a “new normal.” The decline to $145 per square foot in Q4 2025, the lowest quarterly average of the year, should not be interpreted necessarily as market weakness. Rather, this reflects a narrowing price dislocation gap as sellers continue to recalibrate expectations, in response to sustained higher interest rates and shifting demand dynamics.   Sales Price Per SF 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Average time on market continued to rise in 2025, reflecting a more selective buyer mindset as users and investors apply greater scrutiny and caution in evaluating potential transactions. In 2025, properties averaged 7.25 months on market, reflecting a 10.7% year-over-year increase from 2024. Marketing timelines lengthened steadily throughout the year, peaking at 7.9 months in Q4, a 16.2% increase from the prior quarter and tying for the longest quarterly average since 2016, underscoring the persistence of buyer selectivity. This extended exposure period suggests that investors are underwriting more conservatively, while prioritizing stability, stronger fundamentals, and mitigating risk exposure in an environment shaped by persistently high interest rates and lingering economic uncertainty.   Months on Market 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Northern Colorado Industrial Vacancy & Rents Vacancy rates continued to rise in 2025, reflecting heightened caution among tenants navigating market headwinds and evolving workplace strategies. The average vacancy rate increased to 8.83% in 2025, up from 7.50% in 2024, representing a staggering 17.7% year-over-year increase and reaching a decade high. While the 1.1% increase from Q3 appears modest, vacancy trended upward throughout the year, peaking at 9.1% in Q4, indicating sustained hesitation in leasing decisions and an imbalance between supply and demand. Many occupiers remain reluctant to commit to long-term space needs as they reassess growth, hybrid work policies, and broader business conditions.   While industrial vacancy across Northern Colorado has increased in recent years, smaller-bay product continues to outperform the broader market. In the fourth quarter of 2025, vacancy for unit sizes ranging from 5,000 – 20,000 square feet measured at just 6.4%, sitting 270 basis points below the overall industrial average and reinforcing sustained demand with limited new supply entering the market.   Although vacancy is expected to begin moderating in 2026, levels are likely to remain elevated by historical standards, suggesting that caution and adapting workplace dynamics will continue to shape leasing activity in the near term.   Northern Colorado Industrial Vacancy Rate 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Asking rents averaged $14.02 per square foot in 2025, reflecting a 1.7% rise compared to 2024’s average of $13.79 per square foot and a 5.4% quarter-over-quarter increase after Q4’s jump to $14.49 per square foot. Despite vacancy levels continuing to trend upward, asking rents have shown resilience and continued growth, underscoring sustained pricing power in the market. This performance suggests that while overall availability has expanded, tenant demand remains strong for well-located, high-quality assets. Landlords have demonstrated increased flexibility by offering more creative incentive structures to support rent growth while maintaining stable occupancy levels. These concessions often include extended rent abatement periods, enhanced tenant improvement allowances, and competitive broker incentives, allowing owners to remain attractive to tenants in an increasingly selective leasing environment.   Asking Rent Per SF 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Months to lease averaged 5.53 months in 2025, showcasing a significant 33.3% rise year-over-year compared to the 2024 average of 4.15 months. Time on market peaked in the fourth quarter of 2025 at 5.9 months. While a slight increase of only 1.7% from Q3, this marks the highest quarterly level in more than four years. This prolonged leasing timeline reflects a more cautious tenant base, as occupiers carefully evaluate relocation and expansion decisions amid broader economic volatility and an adapting workforce. Similar to buyer behavior, tenants are prioritizing flexibility and cost efficiency, contributing to an increase in lease renewals and slower absorption of available space.   Months to Lease 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Northern Colorado Industrial Construction Construction starts totaled 215,629 square feet in 2025 for industrial/flex between 5,000 – 200,000 square feet, highlighted by a significant surge in the fourth quarter, which posted 156,075 square feet and marked a substantial increase both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. While the strong year-end activity signals renewed momentum, it did not fully offset the slow start to the year, resulting in total construction starts remaining below the 262,802 square feet delivered in 2024. However, fourth quarter activity represented the highest quarterly volume since Q1 2023, underscoring improving developer confidence. This uptick in activity has been driven largely by preleased developments and build-to-suit projects, as developers continue to limit speculative construction in response to evolving market conditions.   SF Construction Starts 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Under construction inventory averaged 427,486 square feet per quarter in 2025. Although a strong fourth quarter, totaling 475,879 square feet, drove an 18.9% increase from Q3, overall construction activity declined 22.3% year-over-year compared to the 2024 quarterly average of 550,003 square feet. This late year acceleration was not enough to offset the slower pace of development earlier in the year, resulting in the lowest annual under construction volume recorded over the past decade. The contraction in the development pipeline reflects a sustained pullback in new construction as developers remain cautious amid shifting demand conditions and persistently elevated construction costs.   SF Under Construction 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    2025 Buyer & Seller Composition 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    Sales by Buyer Origin 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.

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Spencer Mason

Vice President

Image of Denver, CO Industrial 2025 Year End Summary Success Story

Denver, CO Industrial 2025 Year End Summary

Key Findings Transaction Activity Rebounds Strongly: Total sales volume reached $1.48 billion in 2025, up 7.6% from 2024, with Q4 marking the strongest quarterly performance in three years. While Q1 reflected a slow start, pent-up demand and improved pricing clarity fueled accelerated activity throughout the year, signaling a return of transactional momentum and increased market confidence heading into 2026. Vacancy Remains Elevated, Small-Bay Units Outperform: Average vacancy climbed to 8.63% in 2025, a decade high, driven by COVID-era oversupply and cautious tenant leasing. Smaller-bay units under 20,000 square feet continued to outperform, maintaining near 5% vacancy, over 300 basis points below the broader market, highlighting strong and resilient demand for this segment. Development Activity Remains Cautious Despite More Starts: New construction starts rose 74.9% year-over-year, but total under-construction inventory fell 40% compared to 2024. Elevated construction costs and limited speculative development have concentrated new projects in pre-leased or build-to-suit opportunities, suggesting that future development will remain deliberate, well-capitalized, and demand-driven.   Focused Metrics 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties   Denver Industrial Sales Activity Q4 2025 marked the strongest quarterly sales volume over the past three years within the private sector, underscoring a decisive close to the year and reinforcing the return of transactional momentum in Denver’s industrial market. While Q1 reflected a muted start amid lingering uncertainty, activity accelerated meaningfully as the year progressed. For example, Q2 delivered a sharp 79.3% year-over-year increase, representing the most pronounced quarterly rebound of the year and signaling the release of pent-up demand. This acceleration was driven by improving pricing clarity and a growing willingness among sellers to adjust expectations, allowing existing on-market inventory to transact. Total annual sales volume reached $1.48 billion in 2025, up from $1.38 billion in 2024, reflecting a 7.6% increase year over year. Looking ahead, the strong finish to 2025 has materially improved sentiment entering 2026. Market participants are increasingly optimistic, with greater confidence that values have stabilized and downside risk has moderated. As a result, landlords who have been on the sidelines waiting for stability are electing to bring assets to market, buyer pools are deepening, and softened pricing continues to support liquidity. These conditions collectively point toward a more active and constructive transaction environment in the coming year.   Denver Industrial Sales Volume 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Pricing trends in 2025 underscore a clear shift from the volatility seen in 2024 to a more stable market environment, with quarterly price-per-square-foot movements remaining within a much tighter range than in the prior year. With that said, each quarter recorded year-over-year pricing declines, with the most significant adjustment occurring in Q3, when average pricing fell 23.6% from the same period in 2024, marking the pricing trough for the year. Quarterly movement in 2025 was notably restrained. Prices declined modestly from Q1 to Q3 before rebounding in Q4, suggesting that buyer resistance likely emerged once pricing reached a perceived floor. This Q4 stabilization coincided with the strongest sales volume of the year, underscoring a correlation between pricing certainty and transaction velocity. The consistent pricing in 2025 indicates that the market is transitioning from repricing to normalization, allowing capital to deploy with greater confidence.   Sales Price Per SF 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Months on market continued to lengthen in 2025, averaging 6.38 months, reflecting a significant 26.3% increase from 2024. Marketing timelines peaked in the fourth quarter at 7.60 months, an 18.8% increase from Q3, and a new decade high. This extended exposure period highlights a more cautious buyer environment, as purchasers apply more conservative underwriting standards and exhibit heightened risk aversion amid ongoing economic and capital market uncertainty. Deals are getting done, as evident with increased sales volume, but only after rigorous underwriting and further diligence upfront.   Months on Market 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Denver Industrial Vacancy & Rents Vacancy in 2025 climbed steadily to an average rate of 8.63%, a notable 18.5% increase over last year. While the 9.00% recorded in Q4 2025 represents a modest 1.1% quarterly rise, it establishes now as the highest quarterly vacancy level seen in the past decade. This elevated level reflects a combination of oversupply stemming from the COVID-era development cycle and sustained caution in tenant leasing decisions. While vacancy is expected to moderate in 2026, it is likely to remain elevated relative to historical norms.   Smaller-bay unit sizes under 20,000 square feet however continue to significantly outperform, with vacancy near 5% for 2025—over 300 basis points below the broader market—supported by a limited supply pipeline and a diversified tenant base. These factors reinforce the resilience of small-bay industrial properties as one of the most stable and in-demand segments of the market.   Denver Industrial Vacancy Rate 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Average asking rents softened modestly in 2025, declining 3.4% from the prior year to $11.53 per square foot. Despite this annual decrease, rents remained relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, with minimal fluctuation throughout the year, an indication that owners largely resisted aggressive rate reductions even as vacancy continued to rise.   While overall absorption has been tempered by lingering oversupply and fewer tenant relocation or expansion plans, landlords have focused on maintaining headline rents and have relied more on concessions to keep spaces occupied. Extended rent abatement periods, larger tenant improvement allowances, and flexible deal structures have become common tools to attract tenants, suggesting that occupancy—rather than rent growth—will be the primary driver in gradually bringing vacancy back toward normalized levels. Tenant reactions to rising labor and operating costs will be important indicators to watch for in 2026 as well.   Asking Rent Per SF 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Leasing timelines lengthened meaningfully in 2025, with average months to lease increasing to 5.45 months on average for the year, a dramatic 28.8% increase from 2024. As vacancy remains elevated, tenants benefit from a wider range of available options, allowing for greater selectivity and prolonged negotiations. From Q2 to Q4 2025, months to lease rose sharply, increasing 18% over just three quarters. This environment continues to pressure owners to differentiate their assets through competitive pricing, enhanced concessions, and increased broker incentives. With tenants holding more leverage in a market with ample availability, lease negotiations are increasingly driven by tenant priorities, requiring owners to offer creative concessions to minimize turnover and maintain occupancy.   Months to Lease 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Denver Industrial Construction New construction starts in 2025 totaled 365,157 square feet, marking a 74.9% increase over 2024. The year began strong, with Q1 leading the gains, while activity slowed in Q4, consistent with trends from the prior year. Despite the notable year-over-year growth, overall starts remained well below historical levels observed over the past decade, reflecting a still-cautious development environment.   SF Construction Starts 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.   Even with an increase in new construction starts in 2025, overall square footage under construction declined by 40% compared to 2024, averaging only 1.45 million square feet per quarter for the year. Elevated construction costs—driven by labor constraints, material pricing, and financing, along with tempered tenant demand—have continued to limit speculative development, with most new starts focused on pre-leased or build-to-suit projects. This disciplined approach reflects careful capital deployment by developers. Given the ongoing imbalance between supply and demand and persistently high construction costs, the development pipeline is expected to remain moderate, with future projects increasingly intentional, well-capitalized, and driven by confirmed tenant demand.   SF Under Construction 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    2025 Buyer & Seller Composition 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.    Sales by Buyer Origin 5K-200K SF | Industrial & Flex Properties | Source: CoStar Group, Inc.

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Spencer Mason

Vice President

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Beginner’s Guide to Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Property Types

Commercial real estate (CRE) is one of the most widely used wealth-building vehicles. This guide provides a clear introduction to the five major CRE property types, Multifamily, Retail, Industrial, Office, and Healthcare.   What is Commercial Real Estate? Unlike residential real estate, CRE properties are valued based on a number of factors, not just comparable sales. Cash flow, lease terms, tenant quality, and operating efficiency all play a central role in determining value. That means two similar-looking buildings can have very different valuations depending on how well they perform financially.   It also means that not all CRE properties react the same way to market cycles. Some asset classes thrive on consumer spending, others on logistics or employment trends. Understanding these differences is critical before choosing where to invest.   Multifamily Multifamily real estate is built on one simple truth: people need a place to live. Apartments, from small duplexes to large garden-style or high-rise communities, benefit from consistent demand across most economic environments.   How Multifamily Compares to Other Asset Types Office: Demand is less cyclical and not tied to employment trends or remote-work shifts. Retail: Performance is driven by housing demand rather than consumer spending or retailer health. Industrial: Typically offers lower volatility and broader tenant demand, though often with slightly lower upside. Single-Tenant Assets: Reduced risk due to diversified income streams and staggered lease expirations.   While asset-type comparisons highlight why multifamily is attractive, risk and return can vary significantly within the category itself.   Multifamily Class Breakdown Class A Newer, high-quality construction in prime submarkets Premium rents supported by modern finishes and amenities Lower operational risk, typically with lower initial yields Class B Well-maintained, middle-aged properties in stable neighborhoods Moderate rents with upside through targeted improvements Balanced risk-return profile favored by value-add investors Class C Older properties with limited amenities and higher maintenance needs Lower rents but greater management intensity Higher return potential accompanied by higher risk   What sets multifamily apart is income diversification. Instead of relying on one tenant, owners collect rent from dozens, sometimes hundreds, of residents. This helps cushion the impact of vacancies and makes cash flow more predictable. Shorter lease terms also allow rents to adjust more quickly to market changes, which is one reason multifamily is often the first stop for new commercial investors.   Retail Retail real estate relies on two important factors: where it’s located and who occupies it. From strip centers to freestanding buildings, retail properties depend on foot traffic, visibility, and tenant relevance to the surrounding community.   A defining feature of retail is its lease structure, which directly impacts risk, cash flow, and expense responsibility.   Common Retail Lease Types Gross Lease: Landlord covers most operating expenses; more common with smaller tenants. Modified Gross Lease: Expenses are shared between landlord and tenant based on negotiated terms. Triple Net (NNN) Lease: Tenant pays taxes, insurance, and maintenance, resulting in more predictable net income. Percentage Rent: Tenant pays base rent plus a percentage of sales, aligning landlord and tenant performance.   Beyond lease structure, retail risk and performance vary widely depending on the type of retail asset.   Retail Type Breakdown Neighborhood/Community Retail Anchored by necessity-based tenants such as grocery stores or pharmacies Consistent demand and strong daily-use traffic Typically more resilient during economic downturns Shopping Centers Anchored by large-format national retailers Benefit from strong brand recognition and regional draw More exposed to shifts in discretionary spending Mixed-Use Retail Focused on dining, entertainment, and experiential tenants Higher upside in strong urban or suburban nodes More sensitive to economic cycles and consumer trends Single-Tenant Retail Occupied by one tenant, often on a long-term NNN lease Simple management and predictable income Higher vacancy risk if the tenant leaves   Not all retail is created equal. Necessity-based tenants like grocery stores, pharmacies, and service providers tend to be more resilient than discretionary retailers. Leases are typically longer than residential leases, and many tenants pay a portion of operating expenses, which can improve margins. For beginners, retail requires sharper underwriting but rewards those who understand consumer behavior and trade areas.   Industrial Industrial properties don’t rely on curb appeal or interior finishes. Warehouses, distribution centers, and logistics facilities are designed for efficiency, which carries over into ownership.   Key Industrial Property Types Warehouses & Distribution Centers: Designed for storage, fulfillment, and the movement of goods, these properties benefit from strong demand driven by logistics, e-commerce, and regional distribution, and typically feature long lease terms with straightforward operations. Refrigeration & Cold Storage Buildings: Temperature-controlled facilities serving food, agriculture, and pharmaceutical users, characterized by high build-out and operating costs, limited supply, and sticky tenants due to specialized infrastructure. Telecom & Data Housing Centers: Mission-critical facilities supporting data storage, cloud infrastructure, and telecommunications, requiring significant power and security, with long-term leases but higher capital and technical complexity. Flex & Heavy Equipment Rental Facilities: Versatile buildings accommodating warehouse, service, and light industrial uses, commonly occupied by contractors and service-based businesses, offering tenant diversity but shorter average lease terms. Freight & Manufacturing Buildings: Properties designed for production, assembly, or freight handling, often customized for tenant operations, with higher re-tenanting risk balanced by strong tenant commitment.   These properties often have fewer tenants, longer leases, and lower maintenance requirements than other CRE types. Demand is closely tied to supply chains, e-commerce, and regional distribution needs. As a result, industrial real estate has become one of the fastest-growing asset classes, appealing to investors who prefer straightforward operations and strong long-term fundamentals.   Office Office real estate reflects how and where people work. Buildings range from small suburban offices to large urban towers, with performance heavily influenced by job growth, business confidence, and local market dynamics.   Office leases are typically long-term, which can provide stable income when buildings are well leased. However, vacancies can be expensive, and tenant improvements often require significant capital. This asset class demands deeper market knowledge and patience, making it better suited for investors who understand local employment drivers and tenant demand trends.   Healthcare Healthcare assets serve a different purpose than most commercial assets. They support essential, often non-discretionary services. Medical office buildings, outpatient centers, and specialty clinics are usually occupied by healthcare providers with long-term operational needs.   Within this essential sector, performance and risk vary by facility type, with different properties serving distinct roles across the healthcare delivery system. The numerous property types in healthcare make for a well-rounded investor portfolio.   Top Medical Investment Property Types Ambulatory Centers: Outpatient-focused facilities designed for same-day procedures and specialized care, benefiting from strong post-pandemic demand, rapid growth, and highly desirable space requirements typically averaging around 20,000 square feet. Medical Office Buildings: Properties occupied by physicians and healthcare providers, offering historically strong rent collections and stable performance, supported by an aging population and sustained demand for medical services. Life Science Facilities: Specialized lab and research spaces serving biotechnology and pharmaceutical users, experiencing rapid expansion and office-to-lab conversions, with high barriers to entry and growing global market demand. Pharmacies: Necessity-based healthcare retail properties providing stable cash flow, long-term relevance, and evolving service models such as drive-thru pickup, digital ordering, and in-store health services. Hospitals: Large-scale, mission-critical healthcare facilities with long useful lives, ongoing expansion, and enduring demand, offering portfolio stability and long-term investment significance.   Leases in healthcare properties tend to be longer and more stable, and demand is less sensitive to economic cycles. That said, these buildings can be highly specialized and subject to regulatory considerations. Many newer investors gain exposure to healthcare real estate through partnerships or professionally managed vehicles rather than direct ownership.   Choosing the Right CRE Property Type Selecting the right commercial real estate property type depends on an investor’s goals, risk tolerance, capital availability, and desired level of involvement. Multifamily offers accessibility and resilience, retail and office require deeper market analysis, industrial provides operational simplicity, and healthcare delivers long-term stability with added complexity.   Understanding these core asset classes is the first step toward building a strong foundation in commercial real estate. As investors gain experience, they can explore more advanced strategies within each property type, refine their focus, and build diversified portfolios aligned with their long-term objectives.

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Strategic Insights for Walgreens & CVS Property Owners

After a prolonged period of uncertainty, the CRE market reached a definitive inflection point in 2025. Driven by a resurgence of private capital and renewed confidence, the year closed with $545.3 billion in total transaction volume—a striking 23% year-over-year increase and the strongest performance in recent years.   For retail property owners, the recovery has been particularly encouraging. The sector saw an 18% rise in transactions and a 14% increase in dollar volume, signaling a much healthier alignment between buyer and seller expectations. What This Means for Single-Tenant Drugstore Assets While the broader retail tide is rising, the performance of Walgreens and CVS properties is increasingly dictated by specific asset fundamentals. The era of uniform valuation is over as today’s market rewards quality and penalizes risk with striking clarity. Key Trends Shaping Your Asset’s Value The great divide in cap rates: Investor sentiment has bifurcated.   CVS: Remains relatively stable, with cap rates typically ranging from 5.15 to 8%. Long-term leases in prime locations can still achieve premiums in the 4-5% range. The current 12-month average is around 6.55-7.22%.   Walgreens: Has experienced a notable repricing due to corporate uncertainty and a larger supply on the market. Cap rates now average 7.9%, with short-term leases, usually under five years, often pricing above 8% and some assets reaching double digits. This reflects a clear buyer’s market, with approximately $2.5 billion in properties available, and this trend is expected to continue.   Lease Term is the Ultimate Lever: Remaining lease length is the single most critical factor driving pricing. Long-term, secure income streams command significant premiums, while short-term leases require steep discounts to attract capital.   A Disciplined & Selective Buyer Pool: Private investors, around 71% of volume, are actively seeking opportunities but are intensely focused on underwriting. Income is king in this higher-rate environment, making predictable NOI growth—often through rent escalations—paramount for valuation. Your Strategic Position for 2026 The landscape in 2026 will favor proactive, well-informed decisions. Stability in strip centers and essential retail benefits drugstores, but generic assets will not automatically appreciate. Immediate Considerations for Owners Considering a Sale? Buyer discipline means premium pricing is reserved for properties with long leases, strong locations, and clear upside. Preparation and accurate positioning are critical.   Planning to Hold? Focus on enhancing your asset’s income profile and lease security to bolster value and refinancing options. Debt offers are sparse for Walgreens property owners, consider paying down existing loan.   Looking to Acquire or 1031 Exchange? Significant opportunities exist, particularly in the Walgreens segment, for investors comfortable underwriting specific site-level risks and potential re-leasing. Actionable Next Step We specialize in the nuanced drugstore net lease sector. To understand exactly where your property stands in this selective market, we recommend a detailed, no-obligation valuation and market analysis.   Let’s schedule a brief conversation to review your specific assets and goals and ensure you are strategically positioned for success in 2026.

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Seri Bryant

Senior Associate

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Shopping Centers Remain a Robust Performer

Retail entered 2026 with ongoing resilience, with shopping centers leading the way for activity across the sector. Physical shopping centers have maintained their status as essential CRE assets. So far this year, shopping centers noted increased competition for limited inventory, an uptick in valuations, and a shift in investor focus toward high-performing, service-oriented assets.    Market Defined by Low Supply and Demand Although shopping centers are recording robust performance, these properties still note an ongoing struggle with a supply-demand imbalance. After an influx of capital last year, with around $4.5 billion in sales, acquisitions have outpaced available listings. In 2025, more than 1,200 centers were sold, leaving a decreased pipeline of large-scale properties on the market.    The lack of supply has pushed average pricing to around $142 per square foot, a double-digit rise over long-term averages. This growth is fueled by both lower financing costs and rental upside. Easing capital prices have made large-scale acquisitions more attractive. At the same time, landlords are capitalizing on opportunities while leases signed before 2020 expire, allowing for rent adjustments of 20% to 40% for some assets.   Anchor Strength and Record-Breaking Deals Grocery-anchored centers remain consistently sought after for their stability, noting an increase in transactions so far in 2026. One of the most notable shopping center sales so far occurred in Orange County, with Seacliff Village in Huntington Beach trading for $151 million. This fully occupied property underscores the premium investors place on anchors.    Another of the most recent notable deals occurred in the Mid-Atlantic. In Virginia Beach, Landstown Commons sold for $102 million. This deal demonstrates that national shopping centers with diverse tenant mixes remain highly resilient.   Key Sales to Track Seacliff Village: Huntington Beach, CA. Sale price: $151.0M Landstown Commons: Virginia Beach, VA. Sale price: $102.0M Bowie Town Center: Bowie, MD. Sale price: $50.0M Village of Mulberry Park: Dacula, GA. Sale price: $13.4M   Navigating the Rest of 2026 While the big-box and grocery sectors are thriving, the industry continues to track smaller tenants. Local businesses occupy around 40% of total shopping center space. While these tenants often pay higher rents, they are more vulnerable to changes in consumer spending.    Forecasts anticipate that cap rates will continue to tighten through the end of the year. In order to reach full growth potential in 2026, landlords must balance record rents with the stability of their smaller retail tenants to avoid rising costs and decreased demand.

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Daniel Gonzalez

First Vice President & Associate Director

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NMHC Las Vegas Recap: Multifamily Fundamentals Stabilize as Pricing and Liquidity Reset Continues

Discussions at last week’s National Multifamily Housing Council conference in Las Vegas pointed to a multifamily market that is stabilizing at the operating level but still working through valuation and capital market constraints. While confidence in long-term fundamentals remains intact, transaction activity continues to lag as pricing, underwriting, and macro uncertainty work toward alignment.   Recent data from the National Multifamily Housing Council’s January 2026 Quarterly Survey reinforces this dynamic. The Market Tightness Index remained below breakeven, signaling looser conditions, while the Sales Volume Index also stayed below 50, reflecting continued friction in deal activity. Financing conditions showed modest improvement, particularly on the debt side, as lenders selectively reenter the market for stabilized assets with conservative leverage and structure.   At the asset level, sentiment around rental fundamentals has improved, especially in markets that experienced elevated new supply. In Austin, owners increasingly believe rents are nearing a cyclical floor, though pricing expectations have yet to fully adjust. Senior Associate, Richard Waterhouse, noted that while rental performance appears to be bottoming, asset values remain under pressure, contributing to a continuation of the same pricing challenges that have defined recent quarters.   Capital availability was a recurring topic throughout the conference. There remains a meaningful amount of equity on the sidelines, but underwriting discipline has tightened materially. First Vice President and Associate Director, Austin Graham, observed that both lenders and sponsors are prioritizing in-place cash flow over forward-looking growth assumptions. At the same time, distress and REO activity continue to surface, creating targeted opportunities rather than broad-based repricing.   Several conversations also pointed to early signs that the bid-ask spread is beginning to compress after multiple years of misalignment. Associate, Richard Lindsey, shared that most investors and operators remain constructive on the mid- and long-term outlook, citing expectations that supply has peaked, rents have largely stabilized, and demand will remain durable. For groups that were able to withstand the volatility of the past cycle, particularly in high-supply markets, conditions are gradually becoming more conducive to deployment.   Despite improving sentiment, near-term uncertainty continues to influence decision-making. Interest rate direction, broader economic conditions, geopolitical risk, and the transition to a new Fed chair remain key variables shaping underwriting assumptions and transaction timing.   Overall, the NMHC conference reinforced that the multifamily sector is transitioning from dislocation to recalibration. Fundamentals are stabilizing and capital is available, but transaction activity will remain selective as pricing, underwriting discipline, and macro conditions continue to converge.

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Richard Waterhouse

Senior Associate

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Selective Growth: How Store Closures and Targeted Expansion Are Reshaping Retail Real Estate

After several years of post-pandemic recalibration, retail real estate has entered a more selective phase. While many segments of brick-and-mortar retail remain resilient, recent bankruptcy filings, strategic store closures, and measured expansion plans underscore an important distinction: not all physical retail formats are proving sustainable.   Industry data heading into 2026 points less to a broad retail downturn and more to targeted retrenchment alongside disciplined growth. Nationally, store closures are expected to moderate from prior peaks, while new openings are increasingly concentrated among value-oriented and necessity-based retailers. For commercial real estate, the story is no longer about retail survival, but about which formats are expanding, which are contracting, and where space is being returned to the market. Bankruptcy-Driven Closures Reemerge in Select Retail Formats Retail bankruptcies have returned to the conversation in early 2026, particularly among off-price, outlet-oriented, and discretionary apparel formats. As part of restructuring efforts, a significant number of physical locations tied to Saks Off 5th have been slated for closure, removing dozens of stores from outlet centers and secondary retail corridors nationwide.   These closures tend to concentrate in assets already facing leasing friction, including outlet centers reliant on apparel tenants and malls with limited tenant diversification. In many cases, bankruptcy has accelerated store exits that were already likely based on declining sales productivity and rising occupancy costs. Amazon’s Physical Store Reset Highlights Format Risk Not all store closures stem from financial distress. Amazon has announced the closure of its remaining Amazon Fresh and Amazon Go locations as it refocuses its physical retail strategy around Whole Foods Market.   Despite modern buildouts and strong site selection, both experimental formats struggled to consistently meet performance expectations, particularly in high-cost urban and infill markets. Many of these stores occupied well-located neighborhood retail and mixed-use properties, making their closures especially relevant for landlords evaluating re-tenanting strategies and future-proofing space. Drugstore Networks Continue to Right-Size Another meaningful source of physical retail contraction comes from the drugstore sector. Walgreens has announced plans to close a sizable number of U.S. locations over the next several years as it optimizes its store network, targeting underperforming sites and overlapping trade areas.   Because drugstores often function as mini-anchors within neighborhood and community shopping centers, these closures can have outsized property-level impacts, influencing co-tenancy, traffic patterns, and redevelopment decisions. Expansion Is Concentrated,  Not Universal Importantly, closures are not occurring in isolation. Heading into 2026, national data indicates that store openings are expected to outpace closures in several necessity-driven categories, signaling stabilization rather than retreat. Expansion plans are being led by value and essential retailers such as Dollar General and Aldi, which continue to add locations in both rural and secondary markets. Conversely, much of the announced contraction is being driven by legacy and discretionary formats, including GameStop, underscoring a widening gap between growth-oriented retail concepts and those facing structural headwinds. What This Means for CRE Taken together, these developments reinforce a central theme in today’s retail market: physical retail is not disappearing, but it is being refined. Store formats that lack differentiation, operational efficiency, or alignment with consumer behavior are being scaled back, even when backed by recognizable brands.   For CRE owners and investors, the focus moving forward is less about avoiding retail exposure and more about identifying format-level risk and opportunity. Retail fundamentals remain strongest where necessity-based uses, service-oriented tenants, and value-driven concepts dominate. Meanwhile, outlet apparel, experimental formats, and legacy footprints continue to face pressure, creating both near-term vacancy challenges and long-term repositioning opportunities across shopping centers, outlet properties, and mixed-use developments.